This paper presents an overview of microsimulation as a method to evaluate health and health care policies and interventions. After presenting a brief survey of microsimulation models and applications we describe the main features of the approach and how these are implemented in practice. We pay particular attention to the innovative features of dynamic microsimulation as a method of ex-ante po...

gait contains important information about the status of the human body and physiological signs. in many medical applications, it isimportant to monitor and accurately analyze the gait of the patient. since walking shows the reproducibility signs in several phases,separating these phases can be used for the gait analysis. in this study, a method based on image processing for extracting phases of...

in this paper semi-markov models are used to forecast the triple dimensions of next earthquake occurrences. each earthquake can be investigated in three dimensions including temporal, spatial and magnitude. semi-markov models can be used for earthquake forecasting in each arbitrary area and each area can be divided into several zones. in semi-markov models each zone can be considered as a state...

This paper attempts to use microsimulation methods to compare returns to education in four European countries, Germany, Ireland, Italy and the United Kingdom. This paper broadens the type of measure used to measure the return to education to include interactions with public taxtransfer systems and to consider the effect of differential employment rates on education. Mincer style wage equations ...

This discussion paper presents a microsimulation model of household distress. We use logit analysis to estimate the extent to which a household’s risk of being financially distressed depends on net income after tax and loan servicing costs. The impact of assumed macroeconomic shocks on this net income concept is calculated at the household level. The microsimulation model is used to simulate bo...

BACKGROUND The purpose of this work was to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of endoscopic sinus surgery (ESS) compared to medical therapy for patients with chronic rhinosinusitis (CRS). METHODS The study design consisted of a microsimulation Markov decision-tree economic model with a 31-year time horizon. A cohort of 489 patients who underwent ESS for CRS were matched 1 to 1 with a cohort of 4...

Interim Reports on work of the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis receive only limited review. Views or opinions expressed herein do not necessarily represent those of the Institute, its National Member Organizations, or other organizations supporting the work. Abstract This paper is a first step in trying to develop a modeling and simulation framework that allows to incorpora...

background: routinely collected data from tuberculosis surveillance system can be used to investigate and monitor the irregularities and abrupt changes of the disease incidence. we aimed at using a hidden markov model in order to detect the abnormal states of pulmonary tuberculosis in iran. methods: data for this study were the weekly number of newly diagnosed cases with sputum smear-positive p...