These notes are intended to provide the reader with knowledge of basic concepts of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and hopefully also some intuition about how MCMC works. For more thorough accounts of MCMC the reader is referred to e.g. Gilks et al. (1996), Gamerman (1997), or Robert and Casella (1999). Suppose that we are interested in generating samples from a target probability distribution ...

Recent work incorporating geometric ideas in Markov chain Monte Carlo is reviewed in order to highlight these advances and their possible application in a range of domains beyond statistics. A full exposition of Markov chains and their use in Monte Carlo simulation for statistical inference and molecular dynamics is provided, with particular emphasis on methods based on Langevin diffusions. Aft...

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulations are modeled as driven by true random numbers. We consider variance bounding Markov chains driven by a deterministic sequence of numbers. The star-discrepancy provides a measure of efficiency of such Markov chain quasi-Monte Carlo methods. We define a pull-back discrepancy of the driver sequence and state a close relation to the star-discrepancy of the...

These notes provide an introduction to Markov chain Monte Carlo methods and their applications to both Bayesian and frequentist statistical inference. Such methods have revolutionized what can be achieved computationally, especially in the Bayesian paradigm. The account begins by discussing ordinary Monte Carlo methods: these have the same goals as the Markov chain versions but can only rarely ...

By introducing the Jump-Diffusion Process and Markov Regime Shift, the paper explores Monte Carlo simulation to examine the pricing problem of single name Credit Default Swaps (CDS), which the price of CDS is affected by both unpredictable idiosyncratic risk and system risk caused by the macroeconomic change. The study shows that the price of CDS increases as the intensity and the amplitude of ...