An important parameter in ATM-based network design and management is the cell loss probability in ATM multiplexers. However, it depends on many unknown and unpredictable traac parameters such as burst length distribution, mean rate, etc. In this paper, we propose a simple and robust fuzzy-based algorithm to predict the cell loss probability in large-sized systems based only on both a small amou...

Statistical testing can be framed as a repetitive game between two players, Forecaster and Sceptic. On each round, Forecaster sets prices for various gambles, and Sceptic chooses which gambles to make. If Sceptic multiplies by a large factor the capital he puts at risk, he has evidence against Forecaster’s ability. His capital at the end of each round is a measure of his evidence against Foreca...

The main purpose of this study is measuring and comparing of peanut harvesting loss in manual and mechanical methods in addition to economic analysis of them. Hence, a field was selected in Astaneh-Ashrafiyeh and divided to three different plots. Two plots were applied to measure mechanical harvesting loss and third one was applied for manual harvesting loss. According to test results, the lowe...

A composite loss assigns a penalty to a realvalued prediction by associating the prediction with a probability via a link function then applying a class probability estimation (CPE) loss. If the risk for a composite loss is always minimised by predicting the value associated with the true class probability the composite loss is proper. We provide a novel, explicit and complete characterisation ...

It has been reported that IP packet traffic exhibits the self-similar nature and causes the degradation of network performance. Therefore it is crucial for the appropriate buffer design of routers and switches to predict the queueing behavior with self-similar input. It is well known that the fitting methods based on the second-order statistics of counts for the arrival process are not sufficie...

In this paper, a techno-economic investigation of small-scale solar water pumping system combined with power generation is conducted numerically. Irrigation and production for typical small-size citrus farm located in southern Iran simulated. The consists monocrystalline photovoltaic panels (CS3K-305MS, 305 W), absorbent glass material batteries (8A31DT-DEKA, 104 Wh), inverters (SMA Sunny Boy 2...

A Bayesian system identification technique was used to determine which image characteristics predict where people fixate when viewing natural images. More specifically an estimate was derived for the mapping between image characteristics at a given location and the probability that this location was fixated. Using a large database of eye fixations to natural images, we determined the most proba...

Let i = Es∼di π∗ [eπ̂(s)] for i = 1, 2, . . . , T the expected 0-1 loss at time i of π̂, such that = 1 T ∑T i=1 i. Note that t corresponds to the probability that π̂ makes a mistake under distribution dπ∗ . Let pt represent the probability π̂ hasn’t made a mistake (w.r.t. π∗) in the first tstep, and dt the distribution of state π̂ is in at time t conditioned on the fact it hasn’t made a mistake so f...