This paper investigates international stock market dynamics and their linkages. It uses factor models to extract stock market indicators from common cyclical stock components of industrialized countries, emerging markets, the BRICT, and global stock markets. We find that the stock market indicators for these groups are correlated with each other and with the global market factor. The BRICT disp...

in this paper we examine the effect of the oil volatility, consumer price index (cpi) and industrial production on the stock market return in tehran stock exchange (tse). we used seasonal data in period 1378-1390 and auto regressive distributed method (ardl) for the short-term and long-term relationship between the variables. as results of research indicate, we find that there is positive short...

the goal of this research is to predict total stock market index of tehran stock exchange, using the compound method of arima and neural network in order for the active participations of finance market as well as macro decision makers to be able to predict trend of the market. first, the series of price index was decomposed by wavelet transform, then the smooth's series  predicted by using...

While the relationship between stock market return and oil price is of great interest to researchers, previous studies do not investigate stock market return with petrochemical products market. In this paper, we analyzed the relationship between prices of main petrochemical products and stock returns of petrochemical companies in Tehran stock exchange. Using a panel data model and GLS estimatio...

The stock market is forward looking; economic indicators and important future events are factored into stock prices. According to the Efficient Market Hypothesis†, markets operate efficiently and stock prices instantly and stock prices instantly reflect all information available. However, inefficiencies in the stock market exist due to the behaviors and expectations of investors. Stock prices m...

BACKGROUND Because the movement of stock prices is not only ubiquitous in financial markets but also crucial for investors, extensive studies have been done to understand the law behind it. In particular, since the financial crisis in 2008, researchers have a more interest in investigating large market volatilities in order to grasp changing market trends. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS In th...

The Stock market forecasters focus on developing a successful approach to predict stock prices. The vital idea to successful stock market prediction is not only achieving best results but also to minimize the inaccurate forecast of stock prices. This paper attempts to design and implement a predictive system for guiding stock market investment. The novelty of our approach is the combination of ...

The paper investigates the effects of interest rates on stock market performance by using monthly time series data for the economy of Bangladesh over the period of 1991 to 2012. A wide range of econometric techniques have been employed to analyze the relationship between the interest rate and stock market return. The study reveals a stable and significant long run relationship between the varia...