In this paper, we empirically look at the effects of uncertainty on risk measures for exchange rates, by focusing two recent specific periods: Brexit and outbreak Covid-19. Based a Fama regression extended with measures, forecast rates in short run through quantile approach. By fitting Skewed-Student distribution to forecasts, put forward risks appreciation depreciation expected rates. We point...

T he world economy has experienced a bulk of positive and negative shocks in crude oil prices and exchange rates over the years, and that global inflation has undergone some changes. Such shocks have affected the macroeconomic variables in the countries of the world and have challenged the economies of these countries, and have led them to take different measures to protect themselves agai...

One of the main issues in international finance is the ratio of exchange rate pass through to consumer prices. The main objective of this study is to examine the exchange rate fluctuations and its asymmetric effect on consumer prices in Iran’s economy. In the present study, the effects of positive and negative impacts of the exchange rate on inflation rate and other macroeconomic variables of I...

the current paper examines intertemporal capital asset pricing model in iran’s stock market. dynamic conditional correlation was used to estimate conditional variance and covariance portfolios with market returns. time varying beta is estimated by kalman filter method. based on the obtained results, risk aversion coefficients were between 0.013 and 0.28 and the average was 0.20. significance of...

s tock returns of companies listed on the stock exchange is one of the most important criteria in assessing the macroeconomic. this study investigates the effect of exchange rate volatility on the stock exchange returns of d8 countries. it takes monthly data during the period (2008:1-2015:6) constituting 90 observations. at first we used panel-garch model to estimate exchange rate volatility in...