Euro area inflation stubbornly above 2 per cent Headline inflation in the euro area has, on average, remained stubbornly above 2 per cent -the upper limit of the European Central Bank’s definition of medium-term price stability -for most of the period since mid-2000. This persistence may seem puzzling in the light of weakness in activity and is only partly explained by factors like oil and food...

This paper examines the effects of inflation and currency substitution volatility on the average rates of inflation and currency substitution for twelve emerging market economies. Using a bivariate GARCH-in-Mean model, which accommodates for asymmetric and spillover effects of inflation and currency substitution innovations on their volatilities, we find that for the majority of the countries i...

This paper uses data on short-term nominal interest rates and inflation rates over the last three decades collected from eight industrialized nations to examine the whether the Fisher relation has empirical support internationally. The results indicate that the Fisher relation has a great deal of support with all eight countries exhibiting cointegration between nominal rates and inflation. In s...

The purpose of this paper is to examine the impact of internal and external factors on the ratio of outstanding claims in those banks which are accepted in Tehran Stock Exchange. For this purpose, we used the data obtained from 8 banks and credit institution active in the Tehran Stock Exchange and using data regression panel.  The present survey was examined over the period 2011 till 2015. The ...

In brane inflationary scenarios, the cosmological perturbations are supposed to originate from the vacuum fluctuations of the inflaton field corresponding to the position of the brane. We show that a significant, and possibly dominant, contribution to the curvature perturbation is generated at the end of inflation through the vacuum fluctuations of fields, other than the inflaton, which are lig...

This paper assesses the effect of expected inflation and inflation risk on interest rates within the Fisher hypothesis framework. Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedastic models are used to estimate the conditional variability of inflation as a proxy for risk. With the UK quarterly data from 1958:4 to 1994:4, we found that both the expected inflation and the conditional variability of inflati...

T he performance of the U.S. economy in the late 1990s was very good by most measures. Overall growth was robust; and both the unemployment rate and inflation were at the lowest levels in over 30 years. But for many economists, delight in the economy's strong performance was tempered by puzzlement, even consternation. Since the 1960s, unemployment rates below 6 percent or so had been associated...