Dallas Knight*, Alec Holt and Jim Warren

maintenance activities Abram Hindle David Cheriton School of Computer Science University of Waterloo Waterloo, Ontario, CANADA [email protected] Neil A. Ernst Department of Computer Science University of Toronto Toronto, Ontario, CANADA [email protected] Michael W. Godfrey David Cheriton School of Computer Science University of Waterloo Waterloo, Ontario, CANADA [email protected] Richar...

This paper considers univariate online electricity demand forecasting for lead times from a half-hour-ahead to a day-ahead. A time series of demand recorded at half-hourly intervals contains more than one seasonal pattern. A within-day seasonal cycle is apparent from the similarity of the demand profile from one day to the next, and a within-week seasonal cycle is evident when one compares the ...

Semi-discrete models are a particular class of hybrid dynamical systems that undergo continuous dynamics most of the time but repeatedly experience discrete changes at some given moments. In the life sciences, since the first semi-discrete model was derived to describe population dynamics by Beverton & Holt (Beverton & Holt 1957 In Fisheries investigations, series 2, vol. 19), a large body of l...

Multiplicative trend exponential smoothing has received very little attention in the literature. It involves modelling the local slope by smoothing successive ratios of the local level, and this leads to a forecast function that is the product of level and growth rate. By contrast, the popular Holt method uses an additive trend formulation. It has been argued that more real series have multipli...

Holt-Oram syndrome is a rare inherited disorder involving the hands, arms, and the heart. The defects involve carpal bones of the wrist and the thumb and the associated cardiac anomalies like atrial or ventricular septal defects. Congenital cardiac and upper-limb malformations frequently occur together and are classified as heart-hand syndromes. The most common amongst the heart-hand disorders ...

Background: Intermittent cold stress delays flowering. This results from interaction between the cold and photoperiodic pathways. Results: CO protein is degraded through an HOS1-mediated ubiquitination mechanism during brief cold treatments. Conclusion: CO acts as a molecular hub that integrates photoperiod and cold signals into the flowering genetic pathways. Significance: The CO-HOS1 module i...

One of the most significant and well-known properties of entangled states is that they may lead to violations of Bell inequalities and are thus inconsistent with any local-realistic theory. However, there are entangled states that cannot violate any Bell inequality, and in general the precise relationship between entanglement and observable nonlocality is not well understood. We demonstrate tha...

This paper uses minute-by-minute British electricity demand observations to evaluate methods for prediction from 10 to 30 minutes ahead. Such very short lead times are important for the real-time scheduling of electricity generation. We consider methods designed to capture both the intraday and the intraweek seasonal cycles in the data, including ARIMA modelling, an adaptation of Holt-Winters e...

BACKGROUND The occurrence of an anorectal malformation with Holt-Oram syndrome, microcephaly, and bilateral corneal opacity is rare and to the best of our knowledge has not previously been reported in the literature. Hence, there is a need to document our experience in this case and learn as much as possible from it. CASE PRESENTATION We present the case of a Nigerian female neonate with a po...