نتایج جستجو برای: gold price fluctuations

تعداد نتایج: 236974  

Forecasting crude oil price volatility is an important issues in risk management. The historical course of oil price volatility indicates the existence of a cluster pattern. Therefore, GARCH models are used to model and more accurately predict oil price fluctuations. The purpose of this study is to identify the best GARCH model with the best performance in different time horizons. To achieve th...

2000
H. EUGENE STANLEY LUÍS A. NUNES AMARAL PARAMESWARAN GOPIKRISHNAN YANHUI LIU VASILIKI PLEROU BERND ROSENOW

In recent years, a considerable number of physicists have started applying physics concepts and methods to understand economic phenomena. The term “Econophysics” is sometimes used to describe this work. Economic fluctuations can have many repercussions, and understanding fluctuations is a topic that many physicists have contributed to in recent years. Further, economic systems are examples of c...

Journal: :تحقیقات مالی 0
شهاب الدین شمس استادیار دانشگاه مازندران، بابلسر، ایران مرضیه ناجی زواره کارشناس ارشد مدیریت بازرگانی، دانشگاه مازندران، بابلسر. ایران

this paper investigates the forecasting gold coin futures contract price in iran mercantile exchange. this research has presented a hybrid model based on genetic fuzzy systems (gfs) and artificial neural network (ann) to forecast the gold futures contract, at first, we use stepwise regression analysis (sra) to determine factors which have most influence on stock prices. at the next stage we div...

2000
Dipak Ghosh Eric J. Levin

This paper attempts to reconcile an apparent contradiction between short-run and long-run movements in the price of gold. A theoretical model is developed that suggests a set of the conditions that would have to be satisfied for the price of gold to rise over time at the general rate of inflation and hence be an effective long-run hedge against inflation. The model also demonstrates that short-...

Examining the transfer of returns in the markets helps analysts to identify the reasons for the movement of liquidity ratio between the markets. In this study, the monthly data of the gold market price index, housing, stock exchange and the currency has been used in Iran for the past twenty years. Investigating the interactions between price returns The stock market, housing, currency and gol...

Journal: :Journal of Derivatives & Hedge Funds 2011

  The intensive effects of “targeted subsidies plan” and its implementation and that of the price of energy carriers on macroeconomic variables such as private consumption and Gross National Product, therefore increase in the price of energy carriers and the relevant issues have been debating and discussing for a long time. Regarding the significance of the issue and also its effect on the econ...

Short-term and long-term relationship between exchange rate, oil price and spot gas price of three regional gas markets was investigated using and estimating the Vector Autoregressive model. There is a significant and long-term relationship between variables.Short-term interactions of variables with Granger causality test One-year interaction of variables with intervals of one to twelve months ...

Journal: :روش های عددی در مهندسی (استقلال) 0
حمید خالوزاده h. khaloozadeh علی خاکی صدیق و کارولوکس a. khaki sedigh and c. lucas

this paper employs a general non-linear analysis tool to analyse the nature of time series associated with the price (returns) of a particular company in tehran stock exchange. it is shown that the behavior of the process associated with the price (returns) time-series of this company is weakly chaotic, and due to the non-random behavior of the process, short term prediction of stock price is p...

Journal: :تحقیقات اقتصاد و توسعه کشاورزی ایران 0
عبدالرسول شیروانیان عبدالکریم اسماعیلی

differing consumption patterns among individuals along with relative commodity price changes has made inflation effects differ from one person to another. on the other hand, inflation continues to be a general phenomenon in iranian economy. the impacts of price changes on rural poverty have been hereby investigated. for this, market price fluctuations in rural areas of fars province during the ...

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