Electricity price forecasting is a hypercritical issue due to the involvement of consumers and producers in electricity markets. Price forecasting plays an important role in planning and managing economic operations related with the electrical power (bidding, trading) and other decisions related with load shedding and generation rescheduling. It is also useful for optimization in electrical ene...

Starting with the liberalization of electricity trading, this market grew rapidly over the last decade. However, while spot and future markets are rather liquid nowadays, option trading is still limited. One of the potential reasons for this is that the spot price process of electricity is still puzzling researchers and practitioners. In this paper, we propose an approach to model spot prices t...

We consider interruptible electricity contracts issued by an electricity retailer that allow for interruptions to electric service in exchange for either an overall reduction in the price of electricity delivered or for financial compensation at the time of interruption. We provide an equilibrium model to determine electricity prices based on stochastic models of supply and demand. In the conte...

This thesis addresses two main issues: first, forecasting short-term electricity market prices; and second, the application of short-term electricity market price forecasts to operation planning of demand-side Bulk Electricity Market Customers (BEMCs). The Ontario electricity market is selected as the primary case market and its structure is studied in detail. A set of explanatory variable cand...

energy carriers including electricity play a critical role in human societies development, and as the time passes, their importance in the human socio-economic life rises. therefore, knowing electricity demand and the factors affecting on it could have an effective role in economic decision-making. while dividing electricity demand into different consuming sectors, this study uses economic vari...

The energy use increases rapidly due to growth in population, urbanization, and economic growth. Residential electricity consumption has an important place in the rapidly growing electricity consumption in India. Most of the studies that are carried out for energy planning in India, use macrolevel data for the estimation of price and income elasticities of electricity demand. The present study ...

This paper investigates the relationship between electricity consumption, output, and price in the manufacturing sector in Malaysia. We find that electricity consumption, output, and price are cointegrated in the long run. In addition, it has been found that the relationship between electricity consumption and output is positive. In the long run, we find a unidirectional causality from manufact...

Bilateral procurement contracts in the electricity industry use fixed unit prices to settle payments and deliveries. This type of purchasing arrangement creates perverse production incentives and ignores dynamic uncertainties that are inherent in electricity markets. We consider a continuous-time contracting environment, in which the electricity price is modeled as a mean reversion jump diffusi...

In many electricity markets, retailers purchase electricity at an unregulated spot price and sell to consumers at a heavily regulated price. Consequently the occurrence of extreme movements in the spot price represents a major source of risk to retailers and the accurate forecasting of these extreme events or price spikes is an important aspect of effective risk management. Traditional approach...

Energy price forecast is the key information for generating companies to prepare their bids in the electricity markets. However, this forecasting problem is complex due to nonlinear, non-stationary, and time variant behavior of electricity price time series. Accordingly, in this paper a new strategy is proposed for electricity price forecast. The forecast strategy includes Wavelet Transform (WT...