NEW YORK (UPI) The New York Times released a presidential election survey yesterday which showed Richard M. Nixon in a commanding lead over both his rivals and George C. Wallace slightly ahead of Vice President Hubert H. Humphrey. The survey, made by Times correspondents o f political leaders in all 50 states, showed that as the campaign entered its final month Nixon was leading in 34 states wi...

This paper delivers a precise recommendation for how presidential candidates should allocate their resources to maximize the probability of gaining a majority in the Electoral College. A two-candidate, probabilistic-voting model reveals that more resources should be devoted to states which are likely to be decisive in the electoral college and, at the same time, have very close state elections....

In the heat of an election campaign pollsters often warn us that nothing is sure yet: their poll results are only a snapshot and, more important, a large segment of the electorate has not made its mind up yet. The ballot will be decided, pollsters invariably say, by these undecided voters that tend to decide for which party to cast their vote in the very last moments before entering the polling...

Although campaign reformers may believe otherwise, it is not only the money in campaigns that is problematic. Campaign speech can also threaten the integrity of the electoral process. It can be misleading, manipulative, offensive, defamatory, and, in the case of judicial campaigns, unethical. It can distort the issues, distract the voters from making informed decisions, inhibit voter turnout, a...

We study the impact of campaign spending limits for candidates in Canadian federal elections. We first demonstrate that spending limits are binding mostly for incumbent candidates. We then use this information to produce endogeneity-corrected estimates for the impact of incumbent spending on electoral vote shares. Furthermore, we examine the impact of spending limits on broader measures of elec...

Uncertainty pervades the electoral arena. Many voters are unsure about the issue positions of candidates, either because candidates are deliberately ambiguous or because voters fail to receive campaign messages. In theory, uncertainty a¤ects how voters make choices, which strategies candidates adopt, and who wins or loses elections. In practice, though, problems of measurement and endogeneity h...

Drawing from the theory of policy voting, this study examines the impact of opinions about gay rights on voting for presidential candidates. Qualitative analysis of the major party platforms and candidate campaign rhetoric from the six presidential elections held between 1988 and 2008 indicates that Democratic and Republican presidential candidates began openly expressing opposing positions on ...

The purpose of the present study is to investigate the sociological impact of social factors on the electoral behavior of citizens of Mazandaran province by comparing the two age groups of youth and adults. In this regard, a descriptive-analytical cross-sectional study was conducted using a researcher-made questionnaire. Statistical population of this study is men and women over 18 years old th...