In value-at-risk (VaR) methodology of option risk measurement, the determination of market values of the current option positions under various market scenarios is critical. Under the full revaluation and factor sensitivity approach which are accepted by regulators, accurate revaluation and precise factor sensitivity calculation of options in response to significant moves in market variables ar...

The aim of this research is to analyze the connection between dividend announcement and stock price on Croatian capital market using event study methodology. Research period was the period from the year 2007 to the year 2009. Results have confirmed that dividend change has statistically significant value for investors. Dividend increase and dividend decrease resulted with statistically signific...

This paper studies the role of detrended wealth in predicting stock returns. We call a transitory movement in wealth one that produces a deviation from its shared trend with consumption and labor income. Using U.S. quarterly stock market data we find that these trend deviations in wealth are strong predictors of both real stock returns and excess returns over a Treasury bill rate. We also find ...

Article history: Received 16 July 2012 Received in revised form 23 August 2013 Accepted 3 September 2013 Available online 13 September 2013 The global financial crisis has caused controversial discussions about the capital base of the banking industry in Europe. Dividend cuts and omissions have been suggested as one possibility to improve the financial strength of banks by retaining earnings. H...

This paper examines earnings changes surrounding firms' decisions to initiate or omit dividend payments. Firms that initiate (omit) dividend payments have positive (negative) earnings changes both before and after the dividend policy change. The subsequent earnings changes arc positively related to the dividend announcement return. Also, the stock price reactions at the announcement of subseque...

The purpose of this study is to identify the determinants of dividend policy in Malaysian financial institutions. Panel data set were constructed from 33 financial institutions in Malaysia for a period of 10 years (2001-2010). The results show a statistically significant positive relationship between dividend policy and profitability, which implies that Malaysian financial institutions distribu...

The determination of stock prices and equilibrium expected rates of return in a general equilibrium setting is still imperfectly understood. In particular, as Grossman and Shiller (1981) and others have argued, stock returns appear to be too volatile given the smooth process for dividends and consumption growth. Mehra and Prescott (1985) claim that this smoothness in consumption and dividend gr...

Yes. We find that dividend changes predict future unexpected earnings changes in each of the next four quarters. These earnings impacts are persistent, leading to higher than expected earnings levels for at least three years after the dividend change. These results are robust to various measures of expected earnings, including analyst forecasts and a flexible function of past earnings and retur...