We present a model in which a conservative incumbent with preferences for low public spending can strategically run a budget deficit to prevent the left-wing opposition candidate from choosing high public spending if elected, and possibly also to ensure his own reelection. We find that the incumbent never manipulates the opposition candidate’s public spending if he can ensure his reelection; an...

The objective of this study to examine the econometric technique triple deficit’s hypothesis in existence multiple structural breaks. Triple deficit theory is a put forward by expanding twin theory, recognize private together with trade and budget investigate relationship among these under Keynesian approach. annual time series data has been used from 1975 2020. This applied techniques that cap...

abstract t he relationship between public sector deficits and inflation is one of the important and controversial issues in the academic literature as well as in economic policy field. on the other hand, a major objective of macroeconomic policies is to foster economic growth and to keep inflation on a low level. so keeping the price stability plays an important role in determining the growth r...

IN 1993 THE ADMINISTRATION’S first job was to get the economy moving. The deficit reduction package enacted that year helped to reduce interest rates and restore business confidence. Since then the Federal deficit has been cut by more than half, and the economy has expanded robustly. The next task is to complete the work of deficit reduction. In 1995 and 1996 the Administration and the Congress...

The global financial crisis of 2008–09 has sent public debt on sharply higher trajectories, as governments have provided large-scale support to the financial system, implemented discretionary fiscal stimulus, and accommodated steep drops in tax revenue. With the economic recovery gradually taking hold, the focus is now shifting to fiscal “exit strategies.” Indeed, many countries are set to face...

In many states, tax and expenditure limits constrain government spending. All but one state have adopted balanced-budget rules. Some governors have the power to veto individual budget items (the so-called line-item veto). This article reviews the evidence linking fiscal and political institutions to state taxation, spending, and debt. It appears that properly designed fiscal and political insti...

the main purpose of this paper is analyses the short and long run relationship between budget deficit and trade deficit in some mena countries. the data cover the period from 1971-2000 (and for i.r. iran 1 959-2003).the relationship between these variables will be analyses in short and long run by using johansen cointegration tests, ecm, and granger causality test. the empirical evidence provid...

The existing literature on political budget cycles looks at the temptation for incumbent governments to run a greater deficit before an election by considering the characteristics of the incumbent. We propose here to look at the signals the incumbent receives from the voters. For this purpose, we consider the votes from the previous national elections and see whether they may influence the incu...