In this paper, economic vulnerability is defined as the exposure of an economy to exogenous shocks, arising out of economic openness, while economic resilience is defined as the policy-induced ability of an economy to withstand or recover from the effects of such shocks. The paper briefly reviews the work already carried out on economic vulnerability and extends the research towards the develop...

abstract:while energy especially oil, crises and economic integration have been playing an important role indevelopment and growth in east west asia economies and their intertwining relations, only limitedquantitative research on their impact has been carried out and reported for improved debate andcredible policy use. this paper uses an econometric modeling innovation with features superior to...

Many people have realized the importance of building resilient systems that can absorb shocks from unexpected incidents (e.g., a large tsunami) and recover from unavoidable damages in a graceful way. However, there is no formal definition of resilience based on which researchers in various fields can study general design principles for building resilient systems. In this paper, we formalize the...

Understanding the dynamics of productivity shocks is instrumental if we are to identify the sources of economic growth. This paper, investigates dynamic effects of positives productivity shocks to agricultural subsectors during the period from 1991-2015, by disaggregating agricultural sector in Iran into four key subsectors (crops, livestock, fishing and forestry) through an estimated DSGE mode...

a central problem ill empirical macroeconomics is to determine when and how much the exchange rate is misaligned. this paper clarifies and calculates the concept of’ the equilibrium real exchange rate, using a structural vector auto regression (var) model. by imposing long—run restrictions on a var model for iran, lour structural shocks are identified: nominal demand, real demand, supply and oi...

In this paper, economic vulnerability is defined as the exposure of an economy to exogenous shocks, arising out of economic openness, while economic resilience is defined as the policy-induced ability of an economy to withstand or recover from the effects of such shocks. The paper briefly reviews the work already carried out on economic vulnerability and extends the research towards the develop...

Abstract   his study employs a structural vector autoregression (SVAR) model to investigate the macroeconomic shocks on Malaysian tourism industry, especially how the economy dynamically responds to oil price shocks, exchange rates, changes in price level, exports, economic growth and tourism income during the study time period from January 2001 to December 2012. The results indicate that oil...

This chapter will present an empirical analysis of the type and source of real shocks to the Mexican economy. In particular, it will evaluate the following questions. How important are shocks that originate as exchange rate changes due to swings in market sentiment independent of the economic fundamentals? That is, how important is “excess volatility”? How important are shocks that originate as...