نتایج جستجو برای: var شرطی
تعداد نتایج: 28194 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
This paper develops a new test to evaluate Value at Risk (VaR) forecasts. VaR is a standard risk measure widely utilized by financial institutions and regulators, yet estimating VaR is a challenging problem, and popular VaR forecast relies on unrealistic assumptions. Hence, assessing the performance of VaR is of great importance. We propose the geometric-VaR test which utilizes the duration bet...
در پژوهش حاضر تلاش گردید تا با ارائه سازوکار 7 گامی، اقدام به اندازه گیری ریسک صنایع فعال در بورس اوراق بهادار گردد. در این سازوکار در گام نخست پس از برآورد مدل میانگین بازدهی صنایع منتخب، در گام دوم با بررسی اثر واریانس شرطی خودرگرسیو ( arch) به برآورد مدل واریانس شرطی بازدهی صنایع پرداخته شد. در این گام مدل واریانس شرطی صنایع بر اساس 6 مدل از خانواده با واریانس شرطی خودرگرسیو تعمیم یافته (gar...
در این مقاله، با استفاده از چهار مدل از نوع مدلهای GARCH ارزش در معرض خطر (VaR) برای 5 شاخص عمدة بورس اوراق بهادار تهران که واریانس ناهمسانی شرطی در آنها مشاهده میشود، براورد میگردد. با توجه به اینکه پهن بوده دنبالة توزیع احتمال دادهها (که یک ویژگی آشکارشده دادههای مالی بهشمار میرود) در مورد شاخصهای مورد بررسی تأیید میشود، مدلها فرض توزیعt نیز براورد میشوند. نتایج حاکی از آن ا...
Recent DNA sequencing data have shown that J. flaccida var. flaccida, J. f. var. martinezii and J. f. var. poblana are polyphyletic taxa. Additional analysis using Random Amplified Polymorphic DNAs (RAPDs) analyses for J. durangensis, J. flaccida var. flaccida, var. martinezii, and var. poblana, J. jaliscana, J. monticola and J. standleyi revealed exactly the same pattern of relationships as se...
Ait-Sahalia and Lo (2000) and Panigirtzoglou and Skiadopoulos (2004) have argued that Economic VaR (E-VaR), calculated under the option market implied risk neutral density is a more relevant measure of risk than historically based VaR. As industry practice requires VaR at high confidence level of 99%, we propose Extreme Economic Value at Risk (EE-VaR) as a new risk measure, based on the General...
Bromus setifolius var. pictus (Hook) Skottsb., B. setifolius var. setifolius Presl. and B.setifolius var. brevifolius Ness are three native Patagonian taxa in the section Pnigma Dumort of the genus Bromus L. AFLP and RAPD analysis, in conjunction with genetic distance measurements and statistical techniques, revealed variation within this group and indicated that B. setifolius var. brevifolius ...
A simple method for indoor and outdoor cultivation of Mesocyclops aspericornis, Macrocyclops albidus and Mesocyclops n. sp. copepods is presented. This method utilizes Chilomonas sp., Paramecium caudatum and fresh lettuce as food sources for copepod cultures. Steps for initiating and maintaining copepod cultures are provided.
The formulation of the National Centers for Environmental Prediction four-dimensional variational dataassimilation (4D-Var) system is described. Results of applying 4D-Var over a one-week assimilation period, with a full set of physical parametrizations, are presented and compared with those of 3D-Var. The linearization has been performed without simplifications and, therefore, the tangent-line...
Compact chromatin structure, induction of gene silencing in position-effect variegation (PEV), and crossing-over suppression are typical features of heterochromatin. To identify genes affecting crossing-over suppression by heterochromatin we tested PEV suppressor mutations for their effects on crossing over in pericentromeric regions of Drosophila autosomes. From the 46 mutations (28 loci) stud...
A variety of methods is available to estimate a portfolio’s Value-at-Risk. Aside from the overall VaR there is an apparent need for information about marginal VaR, component VaR and incremental VaR. Expressions for these VaR metrics have been derived under the restrictive normality assumption. In this paper we investigate these VaR concepts in an elliptical world and in a general distribution-f...
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