A dynamic pari-mutuel market (DPM) is a hybrid between a continuous double auction (CDA) and a pari-mutuel market. Like a CDA, a DPM incentivizes traders to reveal their information early. Like a pari-mutuel market, a DPM has infinite liquidity, allowing trades at any time. In this paper, we examine empirical questions related to DPMs: Do prices in DPMs predict events of interests? How do trade...

In this chapter, the authors use an Agent-Based Modeling (ABM) approach to model trading behavior in the Foreign Exchange (FX) market. They establish statistical properties (stylized facts) of the traders’ trading behavior in the FX market using a high-frequency dataset of anonymised OANDA individual traders’ historical transactions on an account level spanning 2.25 years. Using the identified ...

We study the Green and Lin (2003) model of financial intermediation with two new features: traders may face a cost of contacting the intermediary, and consumption needs may be correlated across traders. We show that each feature is capable of generating an equilibrium in which some (but not all) traders “run” on the intermediary by withdrawing their funds at the first opportunity regardless of ...

Small traders face risk and uncertainty in carrying out their business activities. On the basis of a large-scale survey on iafermal seda trnde in Central Java, Indonesia, the economic conditions of the informal trade sector and risk avoidance strategies of traders are analyzed. In particular, petty traders have to solve ‘the traders dilemma” by extracting themselves from the moral obligations d...

We consider a market where a risky asset with a well defined fundamental value is traded. We have in our mind a future, whose fundamental value is its terminal value. In the market there are three groups of agents: feedback traders, fundamental traders and noise traders. Feedback traders base their strategy on the past evolution of the asset price. We consider only positive feedback traders who...

In the evolutionary setting for a …nancial market developed by Blume and Easley (1992), we consider an in…nitely repeated version of a model à la Grossman and Stiglitz (1980) with asymmetrically informed traders. Informed traders observe the realisation of a payo¤ relevant signal before making their portfolio decisions. Uninformed traders do not have direct access to this kind of information, b...

In this chapter, the authors use an Agent-Based Modeling (ABM) approach to model trading behavior in the Foreign Exchange (FX) market. They establish statistical properties (stylized facts) of the traders’ trading behavior in the FX market using a high-frequency dataset of anonymised OANDA individual traders’ historical transactions on an account level spanning 2.25 years. Using the identified ...

This paper studies the dynamics of an asset pricing model based on simple deterministic agents. Traders are heterogeneous with respect to their time horizon, prediction function and trade interval. Concerning the trade interval we distinguish between intraday traders and end-of-day traders. Intraday traders update their portfolio every period, whereas end-of-day traders adjust their positions o...

We investigate double-auction (DA) market behavior under traders with different degrees of rationality (intelligence or cognitive ability). The rationality of decision making is implemented using genetic programming (GP), where each trader evolves a population of strategies to conduct an auction. By assigning the GP traders different population sizes to differentiate their cognitive ability, th...