Abstract Baseline assumptions play a crucial role in conducting consistent quantitative policy assessments for dynamic Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) models. Two essential factors that influence the determination of baselines are data sources projections and applied calibration methods. We propose general, Bayesian approach can be employed to build baseline any recursive-dynamic CGE model...

The negative impact of the outbreak of bird flu on economic sectors in the partial and macro research will be analyzed using CGE models (Computable General Equilibrium). The result of the simulation studies indicate that the sector directly affected by the outbreak of bird flu poultry sectors are a traditional, medium large poultry meat and eggs. While the sectors that are indirectly affected s...

BACKGROUND Computable general equilibrium models are known as a powerful instrument in economic analyses and widely have been used in order to evaluate trade liberalization effects. The purpose of this study was to provide the impacts of trade openness on pharmaceutical industry using CGE model. METHODS Using a computable general equilibrium model in this study, the effects of decrease in tar...

This research refines computable general equilibrium (CGE) modeling for estimating business interruption losses from utilities lifeline disruptions and for estimating the reduction of losses (benefits) from mitigation. The behavioral content of CGE production functions is shown to be able to embody the adaptive behavior of lifeline utility service demand in particular and business operations in...

Myanmar is facing climate change (CC) induced changes to the productivity of their critically important rice sector over coming century. Moreover, recent five-year Myanmarese Agriculture Development Strategy (ADS) sets out a vision achieving an ‘…inclusive, competitive, food and nutrition secure, resilient, sustainable agricultural system…’ by 2030. In this paper, we investigate pillar ADS stra...

This paper overviews recent work that has attempted to bring together microsimulation, Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) and macro models to perform distributional analysis in developing and transition countries. Particular attention is paid to applications relating to aspects of economic growth and political economy. Applications in which macro, CGE and microsimulation models are either lay...