Detection and attribution of past changes in cyclone activity are hampered by biased cyclone records due to changes in observational capabilities. Here we construct an independent record of Atlantic tropical cyclone activity on the basis of storm surge statistics from tide gauges. We demonstrate that the major events in our surge index record can be attributed to landfalling tropical cyclones; ...

The 2017 Atlantic hurricane season is one for the history books. It has blown a number of records out of the water. Harvey dumped more rain on the United States than any previous hurricane. Irma maintained the highest category 5 longer than any storm anywhere in the world. September 2017 has accumulated themost cyclone energy of any month on record in the Atlantic. Last, but not least, if early...

Storm surge risk is basic and important information for design of coastal structure, but its probability assessment is difficult because the frequency of devastating TC is not so high. Furthermore, storm surge damage is very sensitive to not only its intensity but also its track and translation speed. Therefore, the estimation of occurrence probability of devastating disaster from our limited o...

FOLEY, KRISTEN MADSEN. Multivariate Spatial Temporal Statistical Models for Applications in Coastal Ocean Prediction. (Under the direction of Montserrat Fuentes and Lian Xie.) Estimating the spatial and temporal variation of surface wind fields plays an important role in modeling atmospheric and oceanic processes. This is particularly true for hurricane forecasting, where numerical ocean models...