Abstract. Proxy-based precipitation reconstruction is essential to study the inter-annual decadal variability and underlying mechanisms beyond instrumental period that critically needed for climate modeling, prediction attribution. Based on 2912 annually resolved proxy series mainly derived from tree rings historical documents, we present a set of standard index (SPI) reconstructions each year ...

Drought analysis via the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and Evapotranspiration (SPEI) is necessary for effective water resource management in Sarawak, Malaysia. Rainfall best indicator of a drought, but temperature also significant because it controls evaporation condensation. This study examined drought periods state Sarawak using SPI SPEI based on monthly precipitation data from thirt...

introduction: the southern oscillation is a large scale phenomenon that changes the normal oscillating air pressure on both sides of the pacific ocean. it disrupted the normal conditions and the patterns of temperature and precipitation change in the nearby region and other regions of the world. this phenomenon is caused by changing the water slope in the pacific ocean between peru (northwester...

Each year, droughts cause significant economic and agricultural losses across the world. The early warning and onset detection of drought is of particular importance for effective agriculture and water resource management. Previous studies show that the Standard Precipitation Index (SPI), a measure of precipitation deficit, detects drought onset earlier than other indicators. Here we show that ...

drought is a natural hazard that have in arid and semiarid areas more frequency. so the study and identify synoptic patterns affecting this phenomenon seems to be necessary. by using peripheral circulation approach, drought periods during the 30-year (2011-1982) in the six synoptic stations provinces of kerman, yazd and isfahan, which have a long-term cooperative period were calculated with usi...

Global warming is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of droughts in the twenty-first century, but the relative contributions from changes in moisture supply (precipitation) versus evaporative demand (potential evapotranspiration; PET) have not been comprehensively assessed. Using output from a suite of general circulation model (GCM) simulations from phase 5 of the Coupled Model I...