نتایج جستجو برای: reproduction number
تعداد نتایج: 1222824 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
We consider a mathematical model that describes the interactions of the HIV virus, CD4 cells and CTLs within host, which is a modification of some existing models by incorporating (i) two distributed kernels reflecting the variance of time for virus to invade into cells and the variance of time for invaded virions to reproduce within cells; (ii) a nonlinear incidence function f for virus infect...
In this study, asymptotic analysis of an HIV-1 epidemic model with distributed intracellular delays is proposed. One delay term represents the latent period which is the time when the target cells are contacted by the virus particles and the time the contacted cells become actively infected and the second delay term represents the virus production period which is the time when the new virions a...
We present a model of a control programme for a disease outbreak in a population of livestock holdings. Control is achieved by culling infectious holdings when they are discovered and by the pre-emptive culling of livestock on holdings deemed to be at enhanced risk of infection. Because the pre-emptive control programme cannot directly identify exposed holdings, its implementation will result i...
We incorporate parameter heterogeneity in a two-patch susceptible-infectious-susceptible (SIS) epidemic model with infection during transport and prove that the disease-free and endemic equilibria are globally asymptotically stable when the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text], respectively. We find that infection during transport increases the possibility that ...
The epidemiology of tularemia has influenced, perhaps incorrectly skewed, our views on the ecology of the agent of tularemia. In particular, the central role of lagomorphs needs to be reexamined. Diverse observations, some incidental, and some that are more generally reproducible, have not been synthesized so that the critical elements of the perpetuation of Francisella tularensis can be identi...
We are concerned with an epidemic in a closed population under the assumption that the per capita number of contacts remains constant, when population size diminishes due to the fatal consequences of the disease. We focus on the nal size as a function of the basic reproduction ratio R0 (which now is independent of population size!) and the survival probability f. Mathematically the model is des...
Two closely related stochastic models of parasitic infection are investigated: a non-linear model, where density dependent constraints are included, and a linear model appropriate to the initial behaviour of an epidemic. Host-mortality is included in both models. These models are appropriate to transmission between homogeneously mixing hosts, where the amount of infection which is transferred f...
Long-term field studies are critical for our understanding of animal life history and the processes driving changes in demography. Here, we present long-term demographic data for the northernmost population of mantled howler monkeys (Alouatta palliata) residing in a highly anthropogenically fragmented landscape in Los Tuxtlas, Mexico. We carried out 454 monthly group visits to 10 groups of mant...
Personal protection (PP) techniques, such as insecticide-treated nets, repellents and medications, include some of the most important and commonest ways used today to protect individuals from vector-borne infectious diseases. In this study, we explore the possibility that a PP intervention with partial coverage may have the counterintuitive effect of increasing disease burden at the population ...
The global dynamics of a periodic SIS epidemic model with maturation delay is investigated. We first obtain sufficient conditions for the single population growth equation to admit a globally attractive positive periodic solution. Then we introduce the basic reproduction ratio R0 for the epidemic model, and show that the disease dies out when R0 < 1, and the disease remains endemic when R0 > 1....
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