abstract main objective of this paper is to investigate the impact of exchange rate misalignment on wheat’s producer estimates (pse), using the 1989-2007 period’s data. for this purpose, vector error correction model (vecm) along with the use of real exchange rate based on purchasing power party (ppp) was applied to estimate nominal equilibrium exchange rates. then, by using market price suppor...

This paper develops a view of exchange rate policy as a trade-off between the desire to smooth fluctuations in real exchange rates so as to reduce distortions in consumption allocations, and the need to allow flexibility in the nominal exchange rate so as to facilitate terms of trade adjustment. We show that optimal nominal exchange rate volatility will reflect these competing objectives. The k...

Nonlinear Effects of Exchange Rate Volatility on the Volume of Bilateral Exports Christopher F. Baum Department of Economics Boston College Mustafa Caglayan Department of Economics and Accounting University of Liverpool, UK Neslihan Ozkan Department of Economics and Accounting University of Liverpool, UK In this paper, we empirically investigate the impact of exchange rate volatility on real in...

Two types of statistical models are empirically applied to test the pattern of volatility in the exchange rate markets. One considers the autoregressive models and tests the random walk hypothesis. The other considers the conditional variance process and tests the hypothesis of chaotic dynamics. Empirical results mostly support the random walk hypothesis and also the existence of Lorenz-type ch...

the emphasis of this paper is the role of volatility indices on improvement artificial neural networks (anns) forecasting models for the daily usd/eur and usd/gbp exchange rates two volatility indices are used. first; the realized volatility, which is based on intra-daily data, and second the garch volatility. they are applied into the model in two ways. firstly, the lagged volatility index is ...