نتایج جستجو برای: monte carlo simulation is a standard technique for project risk analysis however
تعداد نتایج: 17160145 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
monte carlo methods designed base on stochastic reiterations and can be useful in uncertainty conditions. the purpose of this research was investigation of uncertainty to rank desertification indicators. in order to decrease uncertainty have been applied monte carlo reiterations for each value of indicator, if rank of xi is higher than rank of xk constantly. using multi dimension integrals the ...
abstract: in the paper of black and scholes (1973) a closed form solution for the price of a european option is derived . as extension to the black and scholes model with constant volatility, option pricing model with time varying volatility have been suggested within the frame work of generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (garch) . these processes can explain a number of em...
Background & Objectives: The standard methods for the comparison of two drugs in a randomized controlled clinical trial in the presence of non-compliance are intention-to-treat or per-protocol approaches. Both approaches have problems with estimation of drug effects, and researchers are not still certain to adopt which one. In this study, the bias of intention-to-treat and per-protocol approach...
purpose a metabolic abnormality such as obesity is a major obstacle in the maintenance of the human health system and causes various chronic diseases including type 2 diabetes, hypertension, cardiovascular diseases, as well as various cancers. this study was designed to summarize the recent scientific knowledge regarding the anti-obesity role of curcumin (diferuloylmethane), which is isolated f...
drought is transient phenomenon , slow , repetitive and integral part of the climate of each region. drought begins with a substantial reduction in precipitation over the long-term average rainfall and over time, reduced soil moisture and surface and ground water resources will continue to decrease. this phenomenon is the most important in bakhtegan basin because of its importance in strategic ...
Monte Carlo simulation of project networks is increasingly used by engineering firms to analyze schedule/cost risk for bidding purposes. However, one serious methodological flaw of most Monte Carlo simulations is the assumption of statistical independence of activity durations in the network. In this paper, a method is proposed to model and quantify positive dependence between uncertainty distr...
In this paper, we consider a stochastic Time-Cost Tradeoff Problem (TCTP) in PERT networks for project management, in which all activities are subjected to a linear cost function and assumed to be exponentially distributed. The aim of this problem is to maximize the project completion probability with a pre-known deadline to a predefined probability such that the required additional cost is min...
to explore the idea the investingation proposed, aimed at finding whether the performances of the population of iranians students studying english in an efl context are consistent in l1 and l2 writing taks and whether there is a cross-linguistic transfer in this respect. in this regard the subjects were instructed to write four compositions-two in english and two in farsi-which consisted of an ...
gol-e-gohar iron ore mine of sirjan in southern part of iran is a large open pit that operates below the groundwater table and during mining operation, dewatering is required to prevent operation processes from flooding. current operation is going on by digging wells in or out of the pit and pumping to prevent flooding. as a result of the former dewatering operation a vast deep cone of depressi...
the aim of this study is to provide a control software system, based on monte carlo simulation, and calculations of dosimetric parameters of standard and wedge radiation fi elds, using a monte carlo method. gate version 6.1 (opengate collaboration), was used to simulate a compact 6 mv linear accelerator system. in order to accelerate the calculations, the phase-space technique and cluster compu...
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