The spatial pattern of precipitation is known to be highly dependent on meteorological conditions and relief. However, the relationships between precipitation and topography in mountainous areas are not very well known, partly because of the complex topography in these regions, and partly because of the sparsity of information available to study such relationships in high elevation areas. The p...

Metamodeling has been widely used for design optimization by building surrogate models for computationally intensive engineering application problems. Among all the metamodeling methods, the kriging method has gained significant interest for its accuracy.However, in traditional krigingmethods, themean structure is constructed using a fixed set of polynomial basis functions, and the optimization...

We present a method for efficiently fitting a time series of spatial functions to observed data. The method is closely related to kriging, which is an interpolation method based on a stochastic data model. While kriging is effective and versatile for estimating individual functions from observed data, it must be extended to incorporate temporal correlation. In this paper, we introduce temporal ...

Directing to the high cost of computer simulation optimization problem, Kriging surrogate model is widely used to decrease the computation time. Since the sequential Kriging optimization is time consuming, this article extends the expected improvement and put forwards a modified sequential Kriging optimization (MSKO). This method changes the twice optimization problem into once by adding more t...

Sensitivity analysis of capital investments can be effectively carried out by employing a metamodel approach and experimental designs. Although polynomial regression metamodels are popular and straightforward, they do not consider spatial relationships among the data. Dual kriging is an estimation technique that allows the incorporation of spatial correlation into the interpolation or estimatio...

ABSTRACT Decision makers will in an emergency situation often be interested in predictions of harmful environmental variables relative to a certain threshold. We are therefore examining the robustness of different methods which are supposed to give unbiased estimates relative to such a threshold, both for point predictions and areal averages. We are also interested in exceedance probabilities. ...

Kriging is a spatial interpolation algorithm which provides the best unbiased linear prediction of an observed phenomena by taking a weighted average of samples within a neighbourhood. It is widely used in areas such as geo-statistics where, for example, it may be used to predict the quality of mineral deposits in a location based on previous sample measurements. Kriging has been identified as ...

Probability maps are used to define areas with high and low certainty of exceeding a threshold value. The most popular methods for creating these maps are variants of indicator kriging. However, such methods are questionable when the data exhibit a trend or contain measurement errors, the latter of which is common in most data sets. This paper presents an alternative approach that maps the risk...

Ionospheric delay effect is a critical issue that limits the accuracy of precise Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) positioning and navigation for single-frequency users, especially in mid- and low-latitude regions where variations in the ionosphere are larger. Kriging spatial interpolation techniques have been recently introduced to model the spatial correlation and variability of ionos...