We propose a method for optimal portfolio selection using a Bayesian decision theoretic framework that addresses two major shortcomings of the Markowitz approach: the ability to handle higher moments and estimation error. We employ the skew normal distribution which has many attractive features for modeling multivariate returns. Our results suggest that it is important to incorporate higher ord...

In this paper we establish consistent tests of L2-type for the parametric functional form of the conditional mean of time series with values in Rd. A recent result on asymptotic distributions of U -statistics of weakly dependent observations is invoked to obtain the limit distributions of the test statistics. Since the asymptotic distributions depend on unknown parameters in a complicated way, ...

Nonparametric regression models do not require the specification of the functional form between the outcome and the covariates. Despite their popularity, the amount of diagnostic statistics, in comparison to their parametric counterparts, is small. We propose a goodness-of-fit test for nonparametric regression models with linear smoother form. In particular, we apply this testing framework to s...

We present an overview of three approaches to formal meta-theory: the formal study of properties of deductive systems. The approaches studied are: nameless dummy variables (also called de Bruijn indices) dB72], rst order abstract syntax for terms with higher order abstract syntax for judgements MP93, MP97], and higher order abstract syntax Pfe91].

We consider a priori generalization bounds developed in terms of cross-validation estimates and the stability of learners. In particular, we first derive an exponential Efron-Stein type tail inequality for the concentration of a general function of n independent random variables. Next, under some reasonable notion of stability, we use this exponential tail bound to analyze the concentration of ...

This study examines the effect of banning antimicrobial growth promoters on efficiency in the production of weaned and slaughter (finishing) pigs. We focus on the reaction of producers and production efficiency. We evaluate the estimated output and input shadow prices relative to market prices to analyse producer reactions and capture the impact on production efficiency by evaluating the effect...