This paper develops a Ricardian model with money to study North-South trade that is mediated by the currency of the North. The model shows that an increase in the supply of Northern money results in inflation being “exported” to the South. The increase in the supply of Northern money also has real effects: (1) it transfers real resources from the South to the North, lowers the wage rate in the ...

This paper builds a two-country (North, South), two-sector (polluting, nonpolluting) trade model with directed technical change, examining whether unilateral environmental policies can ensure sustainable growth. The polluting good is produced with a clean and a dirty input. A temporary Northern policy combining clean research subsidies and a trade tax can ensure sustainable growth but Northern ...

How can we determine whether an economy will benefit from membership in a monetary union? While economic theory has proposed a number of widely accepted criteria, virtually all empirical studies apply them as if they were time-invariant. The purpose of this paper is to show that, unless the dynamic nature of these criteria is explicitly taken into account, the results will be flawed and mislead...

This paper studies the dynamic relationship between returns in the Russian stock market and global equity markets in the aftermath of the 2014 Ukrainian crisis. We apply dynamic the Russian and global equity returns after the crisis outbreak. The Russian stock market clearly decoupled from both de veloped and emerging markets, as shown by a 30–50% decline in returns correlation. In view of dram...

In this paper we modify the method of Blanchard and Quah (1989) in order to estimate a structural VAR model appropriate for a small open economy. In this way we identify shocks to output and prices in the members of the two monetary unions that make up the African CFA Franc Zone. The costs of monetary union membership will depend on the extent to which price and output shocks are correlated acr...

We develop a global vector autoregressive model GVAR to analyze macroeconomic shock transmission among the East African Community countries. The results suggest that there is a signi…cant growth and in‡ation shock transmissions from Kenya to the rest of the member countries while the transmission in the opposite direction is insigni…cant. The macroeconomic shocks are re‡ected more on prices tha...

We assess the behavior of real effective exchange rates (REERs) of members of the CEMAC zone with respect to their long-term equilibrium paths. A reduced form of the fundamental equilibrium exchange rate (FEER) model is estimated and associated misalignments are derived for the period 1980 to 2009. Our findings suggest that for majority of countries, macroeconomic fundamentals have the expected...

National labour market institutions interact across national boundaries when product markets are global. Labour market policies can thus entail spill-overs, which suggest that there are benefits from international policy coordination. This paper studies the effects of wage subsidies in an international duopoly model with unionized labour markets. The authors document both positive and negative ...

Advanced statistical techniques are used to analyze Hong Kong output dynamics. Hong Kong, Japan and the U.S. are found to share some common long-term and short-term cyclical variations. While the Hong Kong economy is susceptible to external shocks and Granger-caused by the other two economies, local factors account for a large proportion of output growth variability and are mainly responsible f...

We use a model of proportionate growth to describe the dynamics of international trade flows. We provide an explanation to the fact that the extensive margin of trade account for a large fraction of the greater exports of large economies, as well as for a number of stylized facts described by the literature on trade networks such as the power-law distribution of connectivity and the fat tails d...