BACKGROUND The risk of tuberculosis (TB) in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is thought to be increased following anti-tumour necrosis factor (anti-TNF) therapy, with a proposed differential risk between the anti-TNF drugs etanercept (ETA), infliximab (INF) and adalimumab (ADA). OBJECTIVE To compare directly the risk between drugs, to explore time to event, site of infection and the ro...

Decision and risk analysts have considerable discretion in designing procedures for eliciting subjective probabilities. One popular approach is to specify a particular set of exclusive and exhaustive events for which the assessor provides subjective probabilities. We show that assessed probabilities are biased toward a uniform distribution over all events into which the relevant sample space ha...

Decision and risk analysts have considerable discretion in designing procedures for eliciting subjective probabilities. One popular approach is to specify a particular set of exclusive and exhaustive events for which the assessor provides subjective probabilities. We show that assessed probabilities are biased toward a uniform distribution over all events into which the relevant sample space ha...

Fractal scaling--a power-law behavior of the number of boxes needed to tile a given network with respect to the lateral size of the box--is studied. We introduce a box-covering algorithm that is a modified version of the original algorithm introduced by Song [Nature (London) 433, 392 (2005)]; this algorithm enables easy implementation. Fractal networks are viewed as comprising a skeleton and sh...

In the last three decades, researchers have tried to identify universal patterns in the structure of food webs. It was recently proposed that the exponent eta characterizing the efficiency of the transport of energy in large and small food webs might have a universal value (eta = 1.13). In this work we establish lower and upper bounds for this exponent in a general spanning tree with a fixed nu...

Predicting and analyzing employee safety decision-making is an important component of managing safety in the workplace. This presentation will discuss the process of transforming existing safety decisionmaking data into an event tree pathway. Event tree analysis methodology is utilized to identify contributing factors in complex systems, illustrate interrelationships of the causes of specified ...