OBJECTIVES To project the number of older workers with lost productive life years (PLYs) due to chronic disease and resultant lost income; and lost taxes and increased welfare payments from 2015 to 2030. DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS Using a microsimulation model, Health&WealthMOD2030, the costs of chronic disease in Australians aged 45-64 were projected to 2030. The model integrates house...

PURPOSE Estimates of the incidences of severe visual impairment and blindness (SVI/B) and their causes are key to good health service planning. Thus, the database of Germany's largest state's blind registry was used to estimate current incidence rates (IR) and to project rates for Germany in 2010 and 2030. METHODS The sample consisted of 3328 blind/severely visually impaired individuals newly...

Results: Between 1993 and 2014, the mean BMI among Ghanaian women increased by 3 kg/m and by 2030, the average Ghanaian woman will have a BMI of around 27.3 Kg/m. Underweight prevalence has decreased by about 45% from 11.3% in 1993/1998 to 6.2% in 2014 and projected to reach 2.2% by 2030. Obesity on the other hand has seen significant increase of over 400% from 3.4% in 1993 to 15.3% in 2014. By...

Understanding the underlying dynamics of population change is critical for national planning. This analysis explores South Africa’s fertility, mortality and migration outlooks, with a particular emphasis on the uncertainty surrounding migration. Using the International Futures (IFs) model and data from the South African 2011 National Census data, we simulated three potential population futures ...

RESULTS — The prevalence of diabetes for all age-groups worldwide was estimated to be 2.8% in 2000 and 4.4% in 2030. The total number of people with diabetes is projected to rise from 171 million in 2000 to 366 million in 2030. The prevalence of diabetes is higher in men than women, but there are more women with diabetes than men. The urban population in developing countries is projected to dou...

Whilst the widening participation agenda and impact of COVID-19 has arguably increased importance learning development (LD) within UK Higher Education Sector, it is widely acknowledged that role, indeed title, developer varies greatly between institutions. Some staff are employed on academic contracts with research requirements, others not. Similarly, some faculty based whilst a central team. T...