نتایج جستجو برای: الگوهای garch

تعداد نتایج: 18045  

2002
Jin-Chuan Duan Geneviève Gauthier Caroline Sasseville Jean-Guy Simonato

In Duan, Gauthier and Simonato (1999), an analytical approximate formula for European options in the GARCH framework was developed. The formula is however restricted to the nonlinear asymmetric GARCH model. This paper extends the same approach to two other important GARCH specifications GJR-GARCH and EGARCH. We provide the corresponding formulas and study their numerical performance. keywords: ...

2013
M. O. Akintunde D. K. Shangodoyin

To date in literature, GARCH model has been described not suitable for non-linear foreign exchange series and therefore this paper proposes an Augmented GARCH model that could capture both linear and non-linear behavior of data. The properties of this new model is derived and found to have a minimum variance compared with GARCH model. We employ the use of Brock-DechertScheinkman (BDS) test stat...

2016
Honglei Zhang Yixiang Tian Gaoxun Zhang

In this paper, we take the advantage of high frequency data to develop option pricing model and select the Realized GARCH model to describe the volatility of assets, use NIG distribution to describe the distribution of underlying assets, and also build the Realized-GARCH-NIG model to price the option. Finally, we obtain the dynamic option pricing model based on the Realized-GARCH-NIG approach. ...

2002
Michael S. Haigh Matthew T. Holt

This paper presents an effective way of combining two popular, yet distinct approaches used in the hedging literature – dynamic programming (DP) and time-series (GARCH) econometrics. Theoretically consistent yet realistic and tractable models are developed for traders interested in hedging a portfolio. Results from a bootstrapping experiment used to construct confidence bands around the competi...

Journal: :Finance and Stochastics 2000
Wolfgang K. Härdle Christian M. Hafner

By extending the GARCH option pricing model of Duan (1995) to more exible volatility estimation it is shown that the prices of out-of-the-money options strongly depend on volatility features such as asymmetry. Results are provided for the properties of the stationary pricing distribution in the case of a threshold GARCH model. For a stock index series with a pronounced leverage eeect, simulated...

2009
Tetsuya Takaishi

We perform Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations for a Bayesian inference of the GJR-GARCH model which is one of asymmetric GARCH models. The adaptive construction scheme is used for the construction of the proposal density in the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm and the parameters of the proposal density are determined adaptively by using the data sampled by the Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation...

2010
Bei Chen

Wepropose a novel, simple, efficient and distribution-free re-sampling technique for developing prediction intervals for returns and volatilities following ARCH/GARCH models. In particular, our key idea is to employ a Box-Jenkins linear representation of an ARCH/GARCH equation and then to adapt a sieve bootstrap procedure to the non-linear GARCH framework. Our simulation studies indicate that t...

Journal: :Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja 2010

2005
ANDERS ERIKSSON

We present a general framework for a GARCH (1,1) type of process with innovations using a probability law of the mean-variance mixing type. We call the process the mean variance mixing GARCH (1,1) or MVM GARCH (1,1). One implication of this particular specification is a GARCH process with skewed innovations and constant mean dynamics. This is achieved without using a location parameter to compe...

2013
Carol Alexander Emese Lazar Silvia Stanescu

a r t i c l e i n f o JEL classification: C53 G17 Keywords: GARCH Higher conditional moments Approximate predictive distributions Value-at-Risk S&P 500 Treasury bill rate Euro–US dollar exchange rate It is widely accepted that some of the most accurate Value-at-Risk (VaR) estimates are based on an appropriately specified GARCH process. But when the forecast horizon is greater than the frequency...

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