This paper examines the intertemporal pricing behavior between the largest futures markets within the Pacific region with those in the UK and US. Both mean return and volatility transmissions between these markets are analyzed to understand the channels by which the international pricing mechanism functions. Results obtained from using a mixture of intraday and overnight returns show a preponde...

This paper provides new empirical evidence on housing bubble timing, volatility spillover, and contagion between Japan its economic partners, namely, the United States, Eurozone, Kingdom. First, we apply a generalized sup ADF (GSADF) test to quarterly price-to-rent ratio from 1970Q1 2018Q4 detect explosive behaviors in prices. Second, analyze spillover prices partners using multivariate time-va...

This paper examined the volatility spillover effects between futures market and spot market in China, using both VAR model and TVP-VAR model. This study found strong bi-directional volatility spillovers between CSI futures and spot markets, and the change of futures’ volatility decreased the change of spot market’s volatility. This results support the hypothesis that the risk management functio...

We study how total factor productivity (TFP), energy prices and the great moderation are linked. First, we estimate a joint stochastic process for the energy price and TFP and establish that until 1982:II, energy prices negatively affected productivity. This spill-over has since disappeared. Second, we show that within the framework of a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model, the ...

In this paper, we conduct an analysis of the implications of capital controls for financial stability. We study a financial transaction (Tobin) tax applicable to cross-border capital flows in a multi-good, multi-country dynamic equilibrium model with incomplete financial markets and heterogeneous agents. The results derived from the model suggest that the impact of capital controls may vary con...