This paper describes results from a near-real-time objective technique for estimating the intensity of tropical cyclones from satellite infrared imagery in the North Atlantic Ocean basin. The technique quantifies the level of organization or axisymmetry of the infrared cloud signature of a tropical cyclone as an indirect measurement of its maximum wind speed. The final maximum wind speed calcul...

We present results of a numerical study of the differential equation governing the stationary states of the two-dimensional planetary atmosphere and magnetized plasma (within the Charney Hasegawa Mima model). The results show an interesting similarity with the morphology of a tropical cyclone. Quantitative comparisons are also favorable and several scaling laws can be formulated connecting the ...

Detection and attribution of past changes in cyclone activity are hampered by biased cyclone records due to changes in observational capabilities. Here we construct an independent record of Atlantic tropical cyclone activity on the basis of storm surge statistics from tide gauges. We demonstrate that the major events in our surge index record can be attributed to landfalling tropical cyclones; ...

In most cases authors are permitted to post their version of the article (e.g. in Word or Tex form) to their personal website or institutional repository. Authors requiring further information regarding Elsevier's archiving and manuscript policies are encouraged to visit: a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t This article reviews Bayesian analysis methods applied to extreme climatic data. We pa...

If changes in the structural characteristics of rainforest at edges are caused by wind, then physical damage from a tropical cyclone might be greatest at edges or in small fragments that have a high proportion of edge. We tested whether this was true of a fragmented rainforest landscape impacted by a category 4 severe tropical cyclone in March 2006. Six structural variables (canopy cover, canop...

The primary objective is to continue to use innovative signal-processing methodologies to extract tropical cyclone (TC) structure information, including genesis likelihood from clouds clusters, intensity information, and wind field structure information from remote-sensing platforms in oceanic regions where in situ observations are sparse. This information is used to develop objective, accurate...

The sedimentary record, and associated micropalaeontological proxies, is one tool that has been employed to quantify a region's tropical cyclone history. Doing so has largely relied on the identification of allochthonous deposits (sediments and microfossils), sourced from deeper water and entrained by tropical cyclone waves and currents, in a shallow-water or terrestrial setting. In this study,...

More than three decades of observations of tropical cyclone wind and wave fields have resulted in a detailed understanding of wave-growth dynamics, although details of the physics are still lacking. These observations are presented in a consistent manner, which provides the basis to be able to characterize the full wave spectrum in a parametric form throughout tropical cyclones. The data clearl...

Tropical cyclone (TC) tornado prediction remains a substantial challenge, both on its own and compared to advances made in prognostically relevant understanding of midlatitude supercells in particular. An ingredients-based approach (e.g., Johns and Doswell 1992), used for supercell tornado environments in midlatitudes, likewise can be applied to TCs, focusing on moisture, instability, vertical ...

Tropical cyclones in the vicinity of Hawaii have resulted in great property damage. An estimate of the return periods of tropical cyclone intensities is of particular interest to governments, public interest groups, and private sectors. A dimensionless quantity called relative intensity (RI) is used to combine all available information about the tropical cyclone characteristics at different pla...