financial derivatives are new instruments through which hedging, investment and arbitrage are done in a modern economy. although the word 'derivative'primarily reminds us of options and futures, the major focus of the equity derivatives industry worldwide is on index derivatives. launching index options and index futures in tehran stock exchange, not only increases financial market de...

s tock returns of companies listed on the stock exchange is one of the most important criteria in assessing the macroeconomic. this study investigates the effect of exchange rate volatility on the stock exchange returns of d8 countries. it takes monthly data during the period (2008:1-2015:6) constituting 90 observations. at first we used panel-garch model to estimate exchange rate volatility in...

In this paper, the effects of oil and gold prices on stock market index are investigated. We use a cointegrated vector autoregressive Markov-switching model to examine the nonlinear properties of these three variables during the period of January 2003 - December 2014. The Markov-switching vector-equilibrium-correction model with three regimes representing "deep recession", "mild recession" and ...

Objective: In general, financial time series such as stock indexes have nonlinear, mutable and noisy behavior. Structural and statistical models and machine learning-based models are often unable to accurately predict series with such a behavior. Accordingly, the aim of the present study is to present a new hybrid model using the advantages of the GMDH method and Non-dominated Sorting Genetic A...

Stock market prediction is important and of great interest because successful prediction of stock prices may promise attractive benefits. These tasks are highly complicated and very difficult. In this paper, we investigate the predictability of stock market return with Adaptive Network-Based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS). The objective of this study is to determine whether an ANFIS algorithm i...

In this paper we investigate the effect of oil price shocks on stock market index in Iran, by using of a structural VAR (SVAR) approach. We used four variables in the model namely Kilian index, global oil supply, real oil price and real stock market index. The data are monthly and spanning the period 1997M10-2014M12. We identify the effect of four different shocks on stock market including oil ...

Uncertainty in the capital market means the difference between the expected values ​​and the amounts that actually occur. Designing different analytical and forecasting methods in the capital market is also less likely due to the high amount of this and the need to know future prices with greater certainty or uncertainty. In order to capitalize on the capital market, investors have always sough...