نتایج جستجو برای: term forecasting purposes
تعداد نتایج: 700517 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
The aim of the short term load forecasting is to forecast the electric power load for unit commitment, evaluating the reliability of the system, economic dispatch, and so on. Short term load forecasting obviously plays an important role in traditional non-cooperative power systems. Moreover, in a restructured power system a generator company (GENCO) should predict the system demand and its corr...
Prediction of peak loads in Iran up to year 2011 is discussed using the Radial Basis Function Networks (RBFNs). In this study, total system load forecast reflecting the current and future trends is carried out for global grid of Iran. Predictions were done for target years 2007 to 2011 respectively. Unlike short-term load forecasting, long-term load forecasting is mainly affected by economy...
Fuzzy Load forecasting plays a paramount role in the operation and management of power systems. Accurate estimation of future power demands for various lead times facilitates the task of generating power reliably and economically. The forecasting of future loads for a relatively large lead time (months to few years) is studied here (long term load forecasting). Among the various techniques used...
• short-term inclement weather forecasting (for hurricanes, etc.), • contaminant plume forecasting in both urban environments (for coordinating emergency response) and battlefield environments (for coordinating troop movements), • long-term ocean current forecasting (for El Niño, climate change, etc.), and • MHD/plasma forecasting (for sunspot cycles, over terms of years, in order to plan space...
Hybrid model is a popular forecasting model in renewable energy related forecasting applications. Wind speed forecasting, as a common application, requires fast and accurate forecasting models. This paper introduces an Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) followed by a k Nearest Neighbor (kNN) hybrid model for wind speed forecasting. Two configurations of EMD-kNN are discussed in details: an EMD-...
Forecasting of sea level fluctuations is a suitable tool for comprehensive management of the sea and the protection of coastal areas. On the other hand, application of time series analysis for forecasting purposes has been evaluated to be very appropriate. Therefore, two time series consisting monthly measured sea level data were used in the present research. The data have been recorded at two ...
The short-term load forecasting is an important method for security dispatching and economical operation in electric power system, and its prediction accuracy directly affects the operating reliability of the electric system. So the global optimization ability of particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm and classification prediction ability of support vector machine (SVM) are combined in ord...
Short-term power load forecasting is an important basis for the operation of integrated energy system, and the accuracy of load forecasting directly affects the economy of system operation. To improve the forecasting accuracy, this paper proposes a load forecasting system based on wavelet least square support vector machine and sperm whale algorithm. Firstly, the methods of discrete wavelet tra...
The dayahead short term load forecasting (STLF) is a necessary daily task for power dispatch. Short term load forecasting is essential for unit commitment, economic allocation of generation, maintenance schedules. This paper presents a solution methodology using fuzzy logic for short term load forecasting. Fuzzy logic approach is implemented on weather sensitive data and historical load data fo...
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