نتایج جستجو برای: scenario tree
تعداد نتایج: 258746 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
Introduction: using fossil fuels, some hazards such as explosion and fire are probable. This study was aimed to consequence modeling of fire on Methane storage tanks in a gas refinery using analyzing the risk, and modeling and evaluating the related consequences. Method: Hazard analysis by PHA was used to choosing the worst-case scenario. Then, causes of the scenario were determined by FTA. ...
Using distributed generations (DGs) with optimal scheduling and optimal distribution feeder reconfiguration (DFR) are two aspects that can improve efficiency as well as technical and economic features of microgrids (MGs). This work presents a stochastic copula scenario-based framework to jointly carry out optimal scheduling of DGs and DFR. This framework takes into account non-dispatchable and ...
Driven by a trend towards renewable forms of generation, in particular wind, the nature of power system operation is changing. With respect to wind power, the uncertainty of the wind becomes an issue which must be considered. Through the use of wind forecasting, this uncertainty may be managed. The error inherent in forecasting will impact system reliability and cost as will inaccuracies in ass...
Multistage stochastic mixed-integer programming is a powerful modeling paradigm appropriate for many problems involving a sequence of discrete decisions under uncertainty; however, they are difficult to solve without exploiting special structures. We present scenario-tree decomposition to establish bounds for unstructured multistage stochastic mixed-integer programs. Our method decomposes the s...
This paper presents a linear programming model in which a portfolio of projects is modelled as decision trees. It is also shown how scenario thinking can be combined with a capital budgeting model in order to permit uncertainty considerations. Furthermore, the programming of an option to wait and synergies of two projects is described.
Safety analysis in gas process facilities is necessary to prevent unwanted events that may cause catastrophic accidents. Accident scenario analysis with probability updating is the key to dynamic safety analysis. Although conventional failure assessment techniques such as fault tree (FT) have been used effectively for this purpose, they suffer severe limitations of static structure and uncertai...
Stochastic Constraint Programming is an extension of Constraint Programming for modelling and solving combinatorial problems involving uncertainty. A solution to such a problem is a policy tree that specifies decision variable assignments in each scenario. Several solution methods have been proposed but none seems practical for large multi-stage problems. We propose an incomplete approach: spec...
Future space exploration missions to Near Earth Asteroids or Mars present unprecedented psychological challenges to the crew. One of these sets of factors includes long stretches of low workload, environmental monotony and confinement particularly during transfer phases of the trip. In previous orbital space missions, instances of isolation and monotony where remedied by audio or visual contact...
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