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We introduce a Markov Chain model for predicting outcomes in golf match-play. The model uses individual players’ score probability distributions for each hole to estimate the probability of winning the match. The model is specific both to the individual participants and to the course on which the match is played. We use six years of PGA ShotLink data to determine individual player statistics an...

BEFORE EXPLAINING why we disagree with the views expressed in the two preceding comments, we summarize briefly the purpose and main features of the method described in Bongaarts and Feeney (1998). Our study set out to address a well-known flaw in the total fertility rate, the most widely used measure of period fertility. The TFR is affected by changes in the timing of childbearing. In years whe...

The high incidence of cardiac arrhythmias during oral surgery has received considerable attention in recent years (Kaufman, 1965, 1966; Ryder, 1971; Alexander, 1971; Thurlow, 1972; Rollason and Hall, 1973). Dodds and Twissell (1972) showed that the recently introduced intravenous anaesthetic Althesin protected the cat heart against arrhythmias induced by the combination of halothane and adrenal...