Annual global CO2 emission forecasts at 2100 span 10 to 40 billion tonnes. Modeling work over the past decade has not narrowed this range nor provided much guidance about probabilities. We examine the time-series properties of historical per capita CO2 emissions and conclude that per capita global emissions are stationary without trend, and have a constant mean of 1.14 tonnes per person with st...

This chapter is a simple, rigorous, practically-oriented exposition of computable general equilibrium (CGE) modeling. The general algebraic framework of a CGE model is developed from microeconomic fundamentals, and employed to illustrate (i) how a model may be calibrated using the economic data in a social accounting matrix, (ii) how the resulting system of numerical equations may be solved for...

Ten years after the initial Climate Change Convention from Rio in 1992, the developed world is likely to ratify the Kyoto Protocol which has been celebrated as a milestone in climate protection. Standard economic theory, however, casts doubt that Kyoto will go beyond symbolic policy. In this paper we show that the final concretion of the Kyoto Protocol obeys the theoretical prediction: Kyoto mo...

We study how total factor productivity (TFP), energy prices and the great moderation are linked. First, we estimate a joint stochastic process for the energy price and TFP and establish that until 1982:II, energy prices negatively affected productivity. This spill-over has since disappeared. Second, we show that within the framework of a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model, the ...

General purpose technologies (GPTs) like AI enable and require significant complementary investments. These investments are often intangible poorly measured in national accounts. We develop a model that shows how this can lead to underestimation of productivity growth new GPTs early years and, later, when the benefits harvested, overestimation. call phenomenon Productivity J-curve. apply our me...

Aggregation at the neuronal cell membrane's lipid bilayer surface is implicated in amyloid-β (Aβ) toxicity associated with Alzheimer's disease; however, structural and mechanistic insights into the process remain scarce. We have identified a conserved binding mode of Aβ40 on lipid bilayer surfaces with a conserved helix containing the self-recognition site (K16-E22).

A combination of millimeter-wave and high-resolution infrared data is used to analyze the eight lowest-energy vibrational states benzonitrile (C6H5CN, C2v, ?a = 4.5 D), a benzene derivative recently detected in interstellar medium. The overtone v22 2 v33 2, state 1, fundamental v21 1 v15 are studied for first time by rotationally resolved spectroscopy. three former form Coriolis- Darling-Dennis...

The molecular composition and drug responses of calcium-activated K(+) (BK) channels of skeletal muscle are unknown. Patch-clamp experiments combined with transcript scanning of the Kcnma1 gene encoding the alpha subunit of the BK channel were performed in rat slow-twitch soleus (Sol) and fast-twitch flexor digitorum brevis (FDB) skeletal muscles. Five splicing products of the Kcnma1 gene were ...