The fund manager always pronounces “the high returns from hedge fund are along with low risk. Is the performance of hedge fund manager really good? In this study, the market-timing ability and performance consistency on hedge fund manager are tested. The Sharpe ratio was employed to implement the consistency of performance for mutual fund in the previous literature. Due to the non-normally dist...

We analyze the advice contained in a sample of 237 investment newslettcr strategies over 1980-1992. Each newsletter strategy recommends a mix of equity and cash. We find no evidence that letters systematically increase equity weights before market rises or decrease weights before market declines. While there is no information in the newsletter strategies about future market returns, we document...

This paper employs a neural network (NN) to study the nonlinear predictability of exchange rates for four currencies at the 1-, 6and 12-month forecast horizons. We find that our neural network model with market fundamentals cannot beat the random walk (RW) in out-of-sample forecast accuracy, although it occasionally shows a limited market-timing ability. The neural network model without monetar...

For the most part, studies on timing of entry have attempted to determine the advantages that early entrants may be able to develop and hold over subsequent entrants. Given that a large number of firms attempt to enter at a much later stage in the development of the market, it is particularly surprising that little research has attempted to examine the differences in the ability of late movers ...