JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected].

Without a radical change in monetary and fiscal policy, the United States will experience a higher ratio of deficits to GNP in the 1980s than it has in any decade since the 1940s. It is crucial to understand the risk that this poses to future economic growth, but as the following review of the literature indicates, economic research on the issue is in a primitive state. Precise answers are far ...

We compare the factor forecasting performance of nested specifications of the generalized factor model based on various configurations of a large macroeconomic data set. The forecast simulation design involves in-sample model selection, factor estimation, parameter estimation and, finally, generating factor forecasts and factor augmented autoregressive forecasts. In order to empirically determi...

In this chapter we consider the effects of exogenous energy shocks on an agentbased macroeconomic system and study the out-of-equilibrium dynamics. We introduce automatic stabilizers that allow the artificial economy to absorbe the shocks. Two types of macroeconomic stabilization policies are implemented: a consumer subsidy scheme that compensates households for their loss in purchasing power, ...

In this paper, we examine the effects of various industrial policies on the Korean economy using a dynamic general equilibrium model. We consider industria1 policies such as corporate income tax and subsidy as well as R&D subsidy policy. In the model we classify household sector into 10 income groups and classify production sector into 38 industries. In particular we distinguish the parts and m...

n the past, monetary policy options were described in terms of a tradeoff between the unemployment rate and the inflation rate, the so-called Phillips curve. Macroeconomists no longer view the Phillips curve as a viable “policy menu” because its use as such is inconsistent with mainstream macroeconomic theory. In the late 1970s, John Taylor suggested an alternative set of options for policymake...

This paper investigates the macroeconomic challenges created by a surge in aid inflows. It develops an analytical framework for examining possible policy responses to increased aid, in terms of absorption and spending of aid—where the central bank controls absorption through monetary policy and the sale of foreign exchange and the fiscal authority controls spending. Different combinations of ab...

The economic policy needs to pay increasingly more attention to the environmental issues, which requires the development of methodologies able to incorporate environmental, as well as macroeconomic, goals in the design of public policies. Starting from this observation, this article proposes a methodology based upon a Simonian satisficing logic made operational with the help of goal programming...