نتایج جستجو برای: keywords oil price
تعداد نتایج: 2158015 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
Oil is the lifeblood of the industrial economy, oil prices are affected by many factors. China is a major industrial country, changes in the price of oil will affect many aspects of economic development, and therefore the price of crude oil research is extremely important. In this paper, monthly average prices of crude oil in Daqing from January 2000 to December 2010 are utilized to do the rese...
هدف این مقاله تجزیه و تحلیل اثرات متغیرهای کلان اقتصادی بر شاخص کل بورس اوراق بهادار در چارچوب تئوری قیمتگذاری آربیتراژ است. این مطالعه، هشت متغیر کلان اقتصادی شامل شاخص قیمت مصرفکننده، نرخ بهره بانکی، قیمت طلا، شاخص تولیدات صنعتی، قیمت نفت، تلاطم قیمت سهام، نرخ ارز و عرضه پول را به عنوان متغیرهای اثرگذار بر شاخص کل قیمت بورس اوراق بهادار تهران، به عنوان شاخص اصلی بازار سهام ایران را بر اساس...
Significant decline in the slope of short-term oil supply and demand curves, along with the meaningful change in the degree of risk aversion in arbitrageurs encouraged us to test the time-varying effects of speculative demand on crude oil price dynamics over the period 1985-2016. Using a time-varying parameter vector autoregressive (TVP-VAR) model – with structural shocks identified by Killian ...
Taiwan has implemented a floating oil-price mechanism since 2007, which is aimed at connecting the domestic oil price with the international oil price. Given that the consumers’ behavior may change once the price truly responds to its cost and the air quality may consequently be improved, this study investigates the effect of oil price on the concentration of 7 air pollutants, taking the adopti...
Are the recessionary consequences of oil-price shocks due to oil-price shocks themselves or to contractionary monetary policies that arise in response to inflation concerns engendered by rising oil prices? Can systematic monetary policy be used to alleviate the consequences of oil shocks on the economy? This paper builds a dynamic general equilibrium model of monopolistic competition in which o...
Price shocks lead to oil price volatility in world oil markets. In response to this volatility, economic growth may take different regime and behavior patterns in different situation. Investigating this multi behavior patterns can be useful for policymakers to reduce the effect of oil price volatility. In this study, an EGARCH model has developed using the seasonal data of OPEC oil basket nomin...
Application of Permutation Entropy and Statistical Complexity Measure in Crude Oil Price Time Series
The extensive fluctuations in oil prices have vast impacts on economies. The economical instability may be observed for both oil-exporting and oil-importing countries due to high volatility of oil prices. Oil price data as a time series is a highly nonlinear system which exhibits complex patterns. Traditional oil time series analysis employs statistical methods to model and explain the oil data...
Estimating Oil Products Demand by State-space Model and Relevant Guidelines for Price Liberalization
The purpose of this paper is to estimate oil products demand by the state-space model, taking into account the implications for price liberalization using the Kalman filter technique in the framework of a time-varying pattern. For this purpose, we use the data of the Energy Balance Sheet and the National Iranian Oil Refining and Distribution Company during the period of 1994-2017. Our model res...
there are several researches that deal with the behavior of ses and their relationships with different economical factors. these range from papers dealing with this subject through econometrical procedures to statistical methods known as copula. this article considers the impact of oil and gold price on tehran stock exchange market (tse). oil and gold are two factors that are essential for the ...
This paper uses a quantile impulse response approach to investigate the impact of oil price shocks on Chinese stock returns. This process allows us to uncover asymmetric effects of oil price shocks on stock market returns by taking into account the different quantiles of oil price shocks. Our results show that the responses of Chinese stock market returns to oil price shocks differ greatly, dep...
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