نتایج جستجو برای: judgment and decision
تعداد نتایج: 16864614 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
Decision making theory in general, and mental models in particular, associate judgment and choice. Decision choice follows probability estimates and errors in choice derive mainly from errors in judgment. In the studies reported here we use the Monty Hall dilemma to illustrate that judgment and choice do not always go together, and that such a dissociation can lead to better decision-making. Sp...
People who make or implement public policy must often estimate probabilities, predict outcomes, and make decisions that affect the welfare, values, and lives of many others. Until recently many of the disciplines that study policy employed a model of individuals and organizations as rational agents whose predictions conform to the prescriptions of probability theory and whose actions maximize t...
due to extraordinary large amount of information and daily sharp increasing claimant for ui benefits and because of serious constraint of financial barriers, the importance of handling fraud detection in order to discover, control and predict fraudulent claims is inevitable. we use the most appropriate data mining methodology, methods, techniques and tools to extract knowledge or insights from ...
Judgment aggregation problems are language dependent in that they may be framed in different yet equivalent ways. We formalize this dependence via the notion of translation invariance, adopted from the philosophy of science, and we argue for its normative desirability. We show that in the canonical judgment aggregation model, no reasonable judgment aggregation functions are translation invarian...
No data are used.
Good governance promotion in the health sector needs effective policies and evidence-based decision making. Using efficient and effective information is an important issue so that planners will not be confused amid many figures and numbers and also the main problem will not be marginalized. Hence, having a common language and consensus between policy makers and decision makers about the cycle (...
منظور از رأی غیرقابل تجزیه و تفکیک که در مواد 308، 359 و 404 قانون آئین دادرسی مدنی پیش بینی شده، دعاوی بین خواهان ها یا خواندگان متعدد با منافع مشترک در اقامه دعوا یا دفاع از آن می باشد. آرای صادره در دعاوی مذکور وقتی محقق می شود که سبب دعوا بین آنها مشترک باشد. دعوای غیرقابل تجزیه یکی از مصادیق دعاوی بین اشخاص متعدد با منافع مشترک است و به دلیل اینکه کلیه خواندگان باید طرف دعوا قرار بگیرند، د...
Decision fatigue theory asserts that judgment wanes with repeated decision-making because mental resources are depleted. Management consultants and journalists have taken up this concept with considerable vigour, based on limited empirical evidence. This paper challenges that theory. The authors’ study sought to demonstrate decision fatigue in public sector employee selection panels composed of...
This review examines recent developments during the past 5 years in the field of judgment and decision making, written in the form of a list of 16 research problems. Many of the problems involve natural extensions of traditional, originally rational, theories of decision making. Others are derived from descriptive algebraic modeling approaches or from recent developments in cognitive psychology...
Tracing the neural circuitry of decision formation is a critical step in the understanding of higher cognitive function. To make a decision, the primate brain coordinates dynamic interactions between several cortical and subcortical areas that process sensory, cognitive, and reward information. In selecting the optimal behavioral response, decision mechanisms integrate the accumulating evidence...
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