We study the tail behavior of the distribution of the sum of asymptotically independent risks whose marginal distributions belong to the maximal domain of attraction of the Gumbel distribution. We impose conditions on the distribution of the risks (X, Y ) such that P (X + Y > x) ∼ (const)P (X > x). With the further assumption of non-negativity of the risks, the result is extended to more than t...

We study analytically the distribution of the minimum of a set of hierarchically correlated random variables E1, E2,ellipsis, E(N) where E(i) represents the energy of the ith path of a directed polymer on a Cayley tree. If the variables were uncorrelated, the minimum energy would have an asymptotic Gumbel distribution. We show that due to the hierarchical correlations, the forward tail of the d...

In this paper, the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method has been used to estimate the parameters of Exponentiated Gumbel(EG) model based on a complete sample. A procedure is developed to obtain Bayes estimates of the parameters of the Exponentiated Gumbel model using MCMC simulation method in OpenBUGS, an established software for Bayesian analysis using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method....