In this paper, the effects of oil and gold prices on stock market index are investigated. We use a cointegrated vector autoregressive Markov-switching model to examine the nonlinear properties of these three variables during the period of January 2003 - December 2014. The Markov-switching vector-equilibrium-correction model with three regimes representing "deep recession", "mild recession" and ...

in this study business operations and liquidity and credit risk on price fluctuations on the stock exchange since 2010 to 2013 has been tehran distance. the sample consisted of 76 company the systematic elimination method is selected. the company had a total of 304 years, in this study, the hypothesis of linear regression and correlation to analyse the data and test hypotheses eviews software i...

Gold has a far-reaching history of ‘safe haven’ or ‘anchor stability’. However, the epitome precious metals recently deviated from its historical price trend. Fluctuations and volatility have increased too. We argue that gold is not subject to bubbles (due scarcity in nature), although is. By means logical-analytical macroeconomic approach combined with statistical empirical evidence, we prove ...

in this study, we assess the impact of oil price changes on the macroeconomic variables of some oil importers in oecd countries, including usa, italian, france and japan during the period 1960-2002. the results for different countries imply asymmetric impact of oil price changes on gdp growth rates; moreover, the results show that monetary shocks are an important and noticeable factor explainin...

achieving an acceptable level of price growth is one of the main objectives of economic policies. with consideration to the importance of food, information on food price response to monetary policies is important. to achieve the object, scholars recently emphasize the use of models in which a wide range of economic data are included. these models are created by inclusion of one or more factors ...

Using a structural VAR with block exogeneity, diagonality and identifying restrictions, this paper analyzes: first, the macroeconomic linkages among the oil price, U.S. output, interest rate, money supply, general price level and exchange rate and second, the relationships of the macroeconomic variables with the price indices of ten international nonfuel commodity groups. By assuming the block ...

The aim of this study was to investigate the asymmetric effects of exchange rate fluctuations on Stock index of Tehran Stock Exchange. For this purpose, we first calculated the exchange rate fluctuations using model General Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedastic (GARCH), and then the effect of these fluctuations on the Stock index of Tehran Stock Exchange was estimated using the Generalized...