This paper examines the behaviour of European option price (Duan (1995)) and the Black-Scholes model bias when stock returns follow a GARCH (1,1) process. The GARCH option price is not preferenceneutral and depends on the unit risk premium (λ) as well as the two GARCH (1,1) process parameters (α1 , β1). In general, the GARCH option price does not seem overly sensitive to these parameters. Deep-...

In this paper we study Binomial Models with random time steps. We explain, how calculating values for European and American Call and Put options is straightforward for the Random{Time Binomial Model. We present the conditions to ensure weak{convergence to the Black{Scholes setup and convergence of the values for European and American put options. Di erently to the CRR{model the convergence beha...

We reconsider the replication problem for contingent claims in a complete market under a general framework. Since there are various limitations in the Black–Scholes pricing formula, we propose a new method to obtain an explicit self–financing trading strategy expression for replications of claims in a general model. The main advantage of our method is that we propose using an orthogonal expansi...

classical explicit finite difference schemes are unsuitable for the solution of the famous black-scholes partial differential equation, since they impose severe restrictions on the time step. furthermore, they may produce spurious oscillations in the solution. we propose a new scheme that is free of spurious oscillations and guarantees the positivity of the solution for arbitrary stepsizes. the...

“Normality” of Stock Prices Bo Shi Abstract. The Black-Scholes Model, often simply called Black-Scholes, models the varying price of financial instruments over time: stocks in particular. This model assumes that returns on the underlying stock are lognormally distributed, which can be reasonable for many assets that offer options. However, from a selection of 100 stock histories, I found that a...

Value-based IT portfolio management requires the consideration of intertemporal interdependencies that may exist among IT projects. Therefore, several papers suggest adopting the real options approach in order to include intertemporal interdependencies within the valuation of IT projects. However, this paper shows that the standard Black-Scholes model, which is often used for valuating real opt...

This is the first of two papers in which we consider a stock with price process defined by a stochastic differential equation driven by a process Y (·) different from Brownian motion. The adoption of such a colored noise input is motivated by an analysis of real market data. The process Y (·) is defined by a continuous-time AR(∞)-type equation and may have either short or long memory. We show t...

We propose a methodology of Genetic Programming to approximate the relationship between the option price, its contract terms and the properties of the underlying stock price. An important advantage of the Genetic Programming approach is that we can incorporate currently known formulas, such as the Black-Scholes model, in the search for the best approximation to the true pricing formula. Using M...

A new model on European options with uncertainty of both randomness and fuzziness in output is presented, by introducing fuzzy logic to the stochastic financial model. The randomness and fuzziness in the systems are evaluated by both probabilistic expectation and fuzzy expectation, taking account of seller s/buyer s subjective judgment. Prices of European call/put options with uncertainty are g...