A probabilistic seismic hazard assessment in terms of Arias intensity is presented for the city of Tehran. Tehran is the capital and the most populated city of Iran. From economical, political and social points of view, Tehran is the most significant city of Iran. Many destructive earthquakes happened in Iran in the last centuries. Historical references indicate that the old city of Rey and the...

The 1999 Chi-Chi earthquake (MW=7.6; ML=7.3) ruptured in an area considered unusual in that, historically, large earthquakes have been unheard of and the background seismicity are low. A detailed investigation of the crustal characteristics based on seismicity, subsurface structures and GPS surveys shows that crustal strength in the low-seismicity block was most likely stronger than in the surr...

This paper proposes a new model—the Markov-modulated Hawkes process with stepwise decay (MMHPSD)—to investigate the variation in seismicity rate during a series of earthquake sequences including multiple main shocks. The MMHPSD is a self-exciting process which switches among different states, in each of which the process has distinguishable background seismicity and decay rates. Parameter estim...

Today analyzing seismicity hazard urban different areas is critical and inevitable due to develop and to expand cities in seismically active zones and naturally, the hazard because the earthquake is more in the bigger cities and the necessity to consider these hazards would be increased. Expanding the cities in Iran seismically active zones caused to be necessary to analyze earthquake hazard. B...

Continental intraplate seismicity seems often episodic, clustered, and migrating. The observed seismicity shows both spatial clustering in seismic zones and scattering across large plate interiors, temporal clustering followed by long periods of quiescence, and migration of seismicity from one seismic zone to another. Here, we explore the complex spatiotemporal patterns of intraplate seismicity...

[1] It’s uncertain whether more near-field earthquakes are triggered by static or dynamic stress changes. This ratio matters because static earthquake interactions are increasingly incorporated into probabilistic forecasts. Recent studies were unable to demonstrate all predictions from the static-stress-change hypothesis, particularly seismicity rate reductions. However, current dynamic stress ...

[1] Paleoseismic exposures excavated across relatively straight sections of major faults in southern California display a high degree of localization at depths of only a few meters below the surface. In some cases, the width of the slip zone in events with multimeter displacement is on the order of 1–2 mm to a cm, which is the resolution of the observations. Repetitive slip events in the same z...

In a recent article, Wesnousky (1994) (henceforth referred to as Wesnousky) analyzes seismicity and geologic deformation rates for five faults in southern California and arrives at the conclusion that the characteristic model yields a better description of the earthquake size statistical distribution than the Gutenberg-Richter (G-R) magnitude-frequency law. To analyze earthquake occurrences in ...

1Computational Geodynamics Laboratory, Department of Geophysics, Peking University, Beijing100871, China *Corresponding author address: Prof. Qinghua Huang, Computational Geodynamics Laboratory, Department of Geophysics, Peking University, Beijing, China; E-mail: [email protected] A statistical method, which is called the Region-Time-Length (RTL) algorithm and takes into account information suc...

the investigation of this paper focuses on eastern part of shahroud fault system in middle-east alborz. this fault system is an important part in the seismotectonic map of the area. we used two local temporary dense seismological networks data installed around the fault system for several months during 2007 and 2008 and simultaneously micro-earthquakes data recorded by the permanent seismologic...