In the U.S. labor market, the vacancy-unemployment ratio and employment react sluggishly to productivity shocks. We show that the job matching model in its standard form cannot reproduce these patterns due to excessively rapid vacancy responses. Extending the model to incorporate sunk costs for vacancy creation yields highly realistic dynamics. Creation costs induce entrant firms to smooth the ...

The responsiveness of house prices to monetary policy shocks depends on the nature shock—expansionary versus contractionary—and local housing supply elasticities. These findings are established using a panel 263 US metropolitan areas. Expansionary have larger impact in supply-inelastic Contractionary orthogonal In supply-elastic areas, contractionary greater than expansionary do. opposite holds...

Using data on the universe of housing transactions in England and Wales over a 20-year period, we document that sale prices selling propensities are affected by house prevailing period which properties were previously bought. administrative mortgages, show cognitive frictions explain most history dependence prices, whereas credit more relevant for propensities. We corroborate our analysis with ...

We examine the dynamic effects of TFP news shocks in context frictions financial markets. document two new facts. First, a shock to future generates significant decline credit spread indicators along with robust improvement supply indicators. Second, we establish tight link between and that explain majority un-forecastable movements A DSGE model enriched sector Gertler-Kiyotaki-Karadi type very...

We model the world economy as one system of endogenous input-output relationships subject to frictions and study how world’s structure GDP change due changes in frictions. derive a sufficient statistic identify from observed matrix, which we fully match for year 2011. show internal impact whole that they have much larger effect on than external also use our approach role during Great Recession ...

We estimate a behavioral New Keynesian (NK) model in which households and firms plan over finite horizon. The finite-horizon planning (FHP) outperforms rational expectations versions of the NK as well other models. In FHP model, are forward-looking thinking about events their horizon but backward-looking regarding beyond that point. This gives rise to substantial aggregate persistence without r...

We investigate the heterogeneous boom and bust patterns across countries that emerge as a result of global shocks. Our analysis sheds light on emergence core periphery countries, joint determination depth recessions tightness credit countries. The model implies interest rates are similar in booms, with larger output growth However, common shock leads to crunch globe gives rise sharper spike dee...

This paper studies how changes in oil supply expectations affect the price and macroeconomy. Using a novel identification design, exploiting institutional features of OPEC high-frequency data, I identify an news shock. These shocks have statistically economically significant effects. Negative leads to immediate increase prices, gradual fall production, inventories. has consequences for US econo...

If the Mortensen and Pissarides model with efficient bargaining is calibrated to replicate the fluctuations of unemployment over the business cycle, it implies a far too strong rise of the unemployment rate when unemployment benefits rise. This paper explores an alternative, right-to-manage bargaining scheme. This also generates the right degree of fluctuations of unemployment but at the same t...

Multiresolution wavelet analysis is a natural way to decompose economic time series into components of various frequencies: long-run trend, business-cycle component, and high frequency noise. This paper illustrates the method on real GNP and inflation. The business-cycle component of the wavelet-filtered series closely resembles the series filtered by the approximate bandpass filter (Baxter and...