This paper examines economic significance of the most important variables which explain home mortgage default, the voluntary default in particular, and discusses policy implications for the Chinese mortgage sector. It is suggested that to foster the residential market in the economic transition, policy makers should give more attention to standard underwriting criteria, early indicator, risk-sh...

We survey both academic and proprietary models to examine how macroeconomic and systematic risk effects are incorporated into measures of credit risk exposure. Many models consider the correlation between the probability of default (PD) and cyclical factors. Few models adjust loss rates (loss given default) to reflect cyclical effects. We find that the possibility of systematic correlation betw...

Article history: Received 26 August 2013 Received in revised form 5 September 2013 Accepted 23 September 2013 Available online 29 September 2013 While many studies have looked into the determinants of yields on externally issued sovereign bonds of emerging economies, analysis of domestically issued bonds has hitherto been limited, despite their growing relevance. This paper finds that the exten...

This paper assesses quantitatively the impact of legal institutions on entrepreneurial firm dynamics. Owners choose firm size, financial structure and default to manage risk. We find: (i) Less risk averse entrepreneurs run bigger firms and it is optimal for them to incorporate, while more risk averse entrepreneurs run smaller firms and generally are better off remaining unincorporated. (ii) Mor...

This paper examines whether a specific risk premium associated with “odious” sovereign debt issued by dictators exists. Bondholders could indeed require a premium to compensate for the higher default risk due to the odious character of the debts. The paper quantifies the risk premium required by investors to hold debts which could be denounced as odious and analyses ...

A general and efficient method for valuing credit derivatives based on multiple entities is developed in an affine framework. This includes interdependence of market and credit risk, joint credit migration and counterparty default risk of multiple firms. As an application we provide closed form expressions for the joint distribution of default times, default correlations, and default swap sprea...

Only few studies exist concerning the recovery rate of bank loans. The recovery rate is defined as the payback quota of a defaulted borrower. Prediction models of recovery rates are gaining in importance because of the Basel II-reform and the impact for the credit risk management, the calculation of interest rates and the results of credit risk models. Factors that influence the recovery rate c...

It is very important for bank to control the credit risk of guarantee loan or combinational loan by evaluating the joint default risk of different enterprises. Firstly we apply a combinational copula function to measure the joint default risk of two enterprises with credit rating information; secondly the default intensity model is intended to analyze the default time distribution; thirdly we u...

claimant and defendant’s presence has different consequences and sanctions if the legislator said that their default is not an obstacle for proceeding. current remedy is annulling the claim or default judgment. this remedy is different in the previous islamic law and our past laws and french law. the notion of presence in islamic law is personal presence and so is different from its current not...

We develop a dynamic model to assess the effects of liquidity and leverage requirements on banks’ insolvency risk. The model features endogenous capital structure, liquid asset holdings, payout, and default decisions. In the model, banks face taxation, flotation costs of securities, and default costs. They are financed with equity, insured deposits, and risky debt. Using the model, we show that...