This paper presents a methodology for assessing the confidence and the predictive capability of prognosis models, using the application of fatigue crack growth analysis. Structures with complicated geometry and multi-axial variable amplitude loading conditions are considered. Several models – finite element model, crack growth model, retardation model, surrogate model, etc. – are efficiently co...

abstract controversy has not been yet resolved among l2 researchers as how to enhance higher-order thinking skills (hotss) in efl contexts. responding to the growing need to foster thinking skills, many l2 educators have recently attempted to investigate the effect of diverse teaching strategies on hots. yet, few studies have focused on the infusion of gardner’s (1999) theory of multiple intell...

It is a cruel reality that the goal of producing “perfect software” remains elusive. When software is part of a critical system, it is necessary to estimate the risk associated with its use. Software reliability is defined as the probability of failure free execution given a specific environment and a fixed time interval. The goal of reliability assessment is not just to estimate the failure pr...

Structured arguments are commonly used to communicate to stakeholders that safety, security or other attributes of a system are achieved. Due to the growing complexity of systems, more uncertainties appear and the confidence in arguments tends to be less justifiable by reviewing. In this paper, we propose a quantitative method to assess the confidence in structured arguments, like safety cases....

In order to ease the complexity of asking one learner to accomplish the task of prediction, multiple learners are often used. Our approach towards this is to split the data set into clusters based on the confidence a learner can classify them. This repeats until some predetermined hierarchical level. Each cluster of data then gets its own specialized learner. This will allow the algorithm to co...

The current manuscript proposes a theory of how witnesses assess their confidence following a lineup identification, called the selective cue integration framework (SCIF). Drawing from past research on the postidentification feedback effect, the SCIF details a three-stage process of confidence assessment that is based largely on a conceptualization of feedback-produced confidence inflation as a...