Predicting stock price is a trend yet very challenging task. It because the prices depend upon several internal and external factors. Stock prediction can be useful for financial sectors government help in informed decision-making. This paper analyzes market of K-Electric Karachi. found that K-electric on refinery sector. The data two sectors. Also, compares based moving average, auto-regressiv...

ecological changes resulting from climate conditions can severely affect human societies especially in the area of economy and safety. climate catastrophes may cause social and economic tension. forecasting such changes accurately can help the government to control the disasters and to achieve possible benefits (such as water supply in flood). weather forecasting is the application of science a...

A time series forecasting is an active research applied significantly in a variety of economics areas. Over the past three decades an auto-regressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, as one of the most important time series models, has been applied in financial markets forecasting. Recent researches in time series forecasting ARIMA models indicate some basic limitations which detract fr...

Auto-regressive (AR) time series (TS) models are useful for structural damage detection in vibration-based health monitoring (SHM). However, certain limitations, e.g., non-stationarity and subjective feature selection, have reduced its wide-spread use. With increasing trends machine learning (ML) technologies, automated recognition is becoming popular attracting many researchers. In this paper,...

The present study emphasizes the forecast of Andhra Pradesh's total marine fish production and catch commercially important fishes, viz., Indian Mackerel, Oil Sardine, Horse Lesser Sardines for next 5 years by different statistical machine learning approaches under climate change scenario. Forecasting is done with without inclusion climatic environmental parameters in models. Exogenous variable...

In the mining sector, the barrier to obtain an efficient safety management system is the unavailability of future information regarding the accidents. This paper aims to use the auto-regressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, for the first time, to evaluate the underlying causes that affect the safety management system corresponding to the number of accidents and fatalities in the surf...

The price of fresh agricultural products changes up and down recently. In order to accurately forecast the agricultural precuts demand, a forecasting model based on ARIMA is provided in this study. It can be found that asymmetric information and unbalance about supply and demand exist in the market through analyzing the reasons. The ARIMA model for fresh agricultural products can forecast the d...

We analyze the effects on prediction intervals of fitting ARIMA models to series with stochastic trends, when the underlying components are heteroscedastic. We show that ARIMA prediction intervals may be inadequate when only the transitory component is heteroscedastic. In this case, prediction intervals based on the unobserved component models tend to the homoscedastic intervals as the predicti...