b a c k g r o u n d & aim: one of the common used models in time series is auto regressive integrated moving  average  (arima)  model.  arima  will  do  modeling  only  linearly.  artificial  neural networks (ann) are modern methods that be used for time series forecasting.  these models can identify non-linear relationships  among data. the breast cancer has the most mortality of cancers among...

in this work, the time series modeling was used to predict the tazareh coal mine risks. for this purpose, initially, a monthly analysis of the risk constituents including frequency index and incidence severity index was performed. next, a monthly time series diagram related to each one of these indices was for a nine year period of time from 2005 to 2013. after extrusion of the trend, seasonali...

modeling of the connections per day with time series did not give good results (the errors in some case exceeded the 200%), one of the reason of this bad performance was represented by the sharp fluctuations of the number of connections. On the other hand the results obtained when modeling the average number of connections per week were encouraging. In particular, Figure 3 and Figure 4 report r...

In this paper, we propose a time series based method for analyzing and predicting personal medical data. First, we introduce an auto-regressive integrated moving average model which is good for all time series processes. Second, we describe how to identify a personalized time series model based on the patient’s history information, followed by estimating the parameters in the model. Furthermore...

With the great development of intelligent transportation systems (ITS), travel time prediction has attracted the interest of many researchers, and a large number of prediction methods have been developed. However, as an unavoidable topic, the predictability of travel time series is the basic premise for travel time prediction, which has received less attention than the methodology. Based on the...