Numerous factors have been proposed in the literature as explaining the recent commodity price movements. In this paper we focus on one of the most widely discussed factors, the impact of speculative bubbles. We investigate whether commodity prices during the spike of 2007–2008 might have deviated from their intrinsic values based on market fundamentals. To do this, we use a bootstrap methodolo...

Malliaris and Urrutia (1996) use cointegration to analyse the prices of agricultural commodity futures contracts traded on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT). They ® nd a long-run relationship among US grown corn, wheat, oat, soybean, soybean meal and soybean oil futures prices and assert that this empirical ® nding is consistent with two alternative hypotheses. The ® rst is that common economic...

In Nigeria, there is over-reliance on oil proceeds at the expense of revenue accrued to agriculture, which adversely affects standard living. The study examines effect commodity prices agricultural output in Nigeria. empirical model, depends maize, wheat, soya beans, and prices. Data covering 1991 2017 from Central Bank Nigeria Statistical Bulletin Food Agricultural Organisation was analysed us...

Agricultural commodity markets are critical to the global economy. This study investigates price discovery mechanism, lead-lag relationship, and volatility spillover between spot prices on National Agriculture Market (E-NAM) futures Commodity Derivative Exchange (NCDEX) in Indian agricultural market. The Johansen Cointegration, Vector Error Correction (VEC), Granger causality tests, bivariate G...

Rankings for output of Chinese main agricultural commodity in the world for 1978, 1980, 1990, 2000, 2006, 2007 and 2008 have been released in United Nations FAO Database. Unfortunately, where the ranking of output of Chinese cotton lint in the world for 2008 was missed. This paper uses sequential data mining methods with decision rules filling this gap. This new data mining method will be help ...

We develop a model of decision makers’ demand for agricultural economic information services. This model treats choice of external decision-support services as a function of actors’ assessment of how alternative investments in information complement their internal competencies. Data from a survey in four commodity systems are used to evaluate hypotheses as to how human capital, and functional r...

The law of one price (LOP) plays an important role as a building block in theories of international trade and exchange rate determination. It also serves as a measure of integration for international commodity markets. The LOP states that in competitive markets after adjustment for transportation costs and trade barriers, identical commodities sold in different countries should sell for the sam...