In this paper we provide new evidence about the relationship between financial crises and economic situation for different countries which belong to the OECD and emergent economies of Latin America and Asia. The results show new support to the different influence of economic situation according to the type of financial crises. Aggregate data and panel techniques are used taking into account the...

This article further investigates the determinants of health expenditures by using aggregate data. Specifically, a panel data analysis of 25 OECD countries reveals that under several model specifications, the proxy for population ageing has no effect on health costs in accordance with recent findings. In contrast to this well-known result, an additional estimation conducted to check robustness ...

Forecasting Economic Aggregates by Disaggregates* We explore whether forecasting an aggregate variable using information on its disaggregate components can improve the prediction mean squared error over first forecasting the disaggregates and then aggregating those forecasts, or, alternatively, over using only lagged aggregate information in forecasting the aggregate. We show theoretically that...

We build a dataset of quarterly hours worked for 14 OECD countries. We document that hours are as volatile as output, that a large fraction of labor adjustment takes place along the intensive margin, and that the volatility of hours relative to output has increased over time. We use these data to reassess the Great Recession and prior recessions. The Great Recession in many countries is a puzzl...

1 Abstract I use aggregate and industry-level data for a group of OECD countries for the period 1973 to 1991 to estimate a system implied by a model of R&Dinduced growth that relates R&D intensity, productivity, and output growth. I find evidence of positive long-run impact of R&D intensity on productivity and, ultimately, on the growth rate of output. The null hypothesis that growth is not ind...

I use U.S. manufacturing industry data to estimate a system of three equations implied by a model of R&D-induced growth in steady state. These three equations relate R&D intensity to patenting, patenting to technological progress, and technological progress to economic growth. In each case, I find evidence of positive impact. Thus, I reject the null hypothesis that growth is not induced by R&D ...