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در چند دهه گذشته، سیاست آزادسازی اقتصادی در کشور، مورد توجه دولت قرار گرفته است و تاثیر آن بر رشد اقتصادی، یک بحث مجادله برانگیز بوده است. از این رو در این مطالعه بررسی تأثیر آزادسازی تجاری و توسعه مالی بر رشد اقتصادی در ایران مورد بررسی قرار می¬گیرد. دوره زمانی انتخابی 1352 تا 1386 و تکنیک اقتصاد سنجی مورد استفاده در این مقاله، روش خود رگرسیونی با وقفه های توزیعی می¬باشد. نتایج تخمین مدل بیا...
این مقاله بهبررسی تأثیر توسعه نظام مالی بر پسانداز خصوصی بر اساس روش همانباشتگی یوهانسون - یوسیلیوس میپردازد. در این مطالعه پس از شناسایی نظام مالی ایران و بررسی متغیرهای تأثیرگذار بر پسانداز خصوصی با استفاده از روش آماری مؤلفههای اصلی شاخص اندازهگیری توسعه مالی ساخته میشود. مهمترین نتایجی که از این مقاله بهدست آمده است, عبارتند از: الف- نظام مالی ایران طی سه دهه اخیر بانک محور بوده ...
in this paper, the effect of financial liberalization on household’s budget liquidity constraint is analyzed with the use of an error correction model. financial liberalization will decline liquidity constraint, with expanding means of making future incomes available for present consumption. here a financial liberalization index for iran is defined using principal component analysis technique, ...
The paper shows that lottery-like stocks are hedges against unexpected increases in market volatility. The loading on the aggregate volatility risk factor explains low returns to stocks with high maximum returns in the past (Bali, Cakici, and Whitelaw, 2011) and high expected skewness (Boyer, Mitton, and Vorkink, 2010). Aggregate volatility risk also explains the new evidence that the maximum e...
By using the recent Gertler and Kiyotakis (2010) setup, this paper explores the interaction between real distortions stemming from the labor market institutions and nancial shocks. We nd that neither labor market imperfections nor scal institutions determining tax wedges have an impact on the volatility of the real economy induced by a nancial shock. By contrast, real wage rigidities matte...
In this paper we re–examine banks’ lending behavior taking into account changes in the stance of monetary policy in conjunction with changes in financial sector uncertainty. Using a very large data set covering all banks in the US between 1979–2000, we show that financial sector uncertainty plays an important role in banks’ lending decisions: for a given size classification, less liquid banks (...
We develop an overlapping generations model with re-tradeable paper assets and capital accumulation to analyze the interaction between the real economy and an international asset market. The world consists of two homogeneous countries, which differ only in their initial levels of capital. Consumers who live for two periods transfer wealth over time and across countries by holding international ...
The intention of this paper is to examine the impact of the inflation rate on the performance of the Egyptian stock market. Particular attention is paid to the effects of the rate of inflation on various stock market performance variables, in terms of market activity and market liquidity. From the co-integration analysis through error correction mechanisms Ž . ECM , significant long-run and sho...
We explore how general economic conditions impact defaults and major credit rating changes by fitting reduced-form Cox intensity models with a broad range of macroeconomic and firm-specific ratings-related variables. For all corporate issuers in the period 1981 2002 we find both types of factors strongly influenced the risk of a credit event. However, while the effects of ratings-related factor...
Many stockholders irrationally believe that high recent market returns predict high future market returns. I argue that the presence of these extrapolative investors can help resolve the equity premium puzzle if the elasticity of intertemporal substitution (EIS) is greater than unity. Extrapolators’ overreaction to dividend news generates countercyclical expected returns. Rational investors res...
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